NFL Slate Analysis — Sunday, November 1, 2026

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · NFL

The NFL slate for Sunday, November 1, 2026 has 12 games, the first at 12:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 12. Of AiQ's picks on this slate, 1 has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.

Best value

• Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals: Cincinnati Bengals on the moneyline (-670 at BetRivers, +0.8% value).

Every game

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

12:00 PM CT at AT&T Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Arizona Cardinals 24, Dallas Cowboys 32. That is an average, not a pick.

The Arizona Cardinals have won 2 of their 7 games this season. The Dallas Cowboys have won 3 of their 7 games this season. When these teams last met, on November 3, 2025, the Arizona Cardinals won 27-17 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch in scoring. The Dallas Cowboys averaged 27.0 points per game this season, the 5th most in the NFL, and the Arizona Cardinals allowed 29.7 points per game, the most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Dallas Cowboys a 75.8% chance to beat Arizona Cardinals. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -325, is priced below the fair price of -313 (−0.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 54.5 points at 50.1% and the under at 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 55.4 points, sits on the 54.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Arizona Cardinals +7 a 49.8% chance to cover and Dallas Cowboys -7 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Dallas Cowboys went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the spread back the Dallas Cowboys. The Arizona Cardinals failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

12:00 PM CT at Raymond James Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Atlanta Falcons 21, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23. That is an average, not a pick.

The Atlanta Falcons have won 3 of their 7 games this season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 2 of their 7 games this season. When these teams last met, on December 11, 2025, the Atlanta Falcons won 29-28 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength on the ground. The Atlanta Falcons averaged 139.9 rushing yards per game this season, the 6th most in the NFL, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed 77.3 rushing yards per game, the 2nd fewest.
• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers averaged 150.4 passing yards per game this season, the fewest in the NFL, and the Atlanta Falcons allowed 255.6 passing yards per game, the 4th most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 54.8% chance to beat Atlanta Falcons. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -130, is priced below the fair price of -121 (−3.0% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 43 points at 50.0% and the under at 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 43.8 points, sits on the 43 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Atlanta Falcons +2 a 49.8% chance to cover and Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent results against the spread back the Atlanta Falcons, the underdog here. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

12:00 PM CT at Highmark Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Baltimore Ravens 26, Buffalo Bills 30. That is an average, not a pick.

The Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of their 7 games this season. The Buffalo Bills have won 5 of their 6 games this season. The Buffalo Bills come in with more rest: their last game was on October 18, 14 days before this one, while the Baltimore Ravens played seven days before. When these teams last met, on September 7, 2025, the Buffalo Bills won 41-40 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch in total yards. The Baltimore Ravens averaged 366.4 yards per game this season, the 8th most in the NFL, and the Buffalo Bills allowed 386.8 yards per game, the 2nd most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Buffalo Bills a 61.6% chance to beat Baltimore Ravens. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -162, is priced near the fair price of -160 (−0.4% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 54.5 points at 50.4% and the under at 49.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 55.5 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Baltimore Ravens +3 a 48.7% chance to cover and Buffalo Bills -3 51.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Everything points over on the total. The Buffalo Bills went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games. The Baltimore Ravens went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the spread back the Buffalo Bills. The Baltimore Ravens failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

12:00 PM CT at Acrisure Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Cleveland Browns 18, Pittsburgh Steelers 22. That is an average, not a pick.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 5 of their 7 games this season, winning the last three. The Cleveland Browns have won 5 of their 7 games this season. When these teams last met, on October 1, 2026, the Cleveland Browns won 27-24 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb in scoring. The Cleveland Browns averaged 19.0 points per game this season, the 5th fewest in the NFL, and the Pittsburgh Steelers allowed 19.7 points per game, the 5th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Pittsburgh Steelers a 64.4% chance to beat Cleveland Browns. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -185, is priced below the fair price of -181 (−0.8% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 38.5 points at 51.6% and the under at 48.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 39.8 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cleveland Browns +3.5 a 50.4% chance to cover and Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 49.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Cleveland Browns covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers covered the spread in 4 of 5 games as favorites this season.

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

12:00 PM CT at EverBank Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Indianapolis Colts 18, Jacksonville Jaguars 29. That is an average, not a pick.

The Indianapolis Colts have won 2 of their 7 games this season, losing the last three. The Jacksonville Jaguars have won 4 of their 6 games this season. The Jacksonville Jaguars come in with more rest: their last game was on October 18, 14 days before this one, while the Indianapolis Colts played seven days before. When these teams last met, on December 28, 2025, the Jacksonville Jaguars won 23-17 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Indianapolis Colts averaged 180.4 passing yards per game this season, the 8th fewest in the NFL, and the Jacksonville Jaguars allowed 273.8 passing yards per game, the 3rd most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Jacksonville Jaguars an 82.2% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -480 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -460 (−0.7% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 46.5 points at 49.7% and the under at 50.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 47.2 points, sits on the 46.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Indianapolis Colts +10 a 49.8% chance to cover and Jacksonville Jaguars -10 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

12:00 PM CT at MetLife Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Las Vegas Raiders 23, New York Jets 24. That is an average, not a pick.

The Las Vegas Raiders have won 3 of their 7 games this season, losing the last four. The New York Jets have won 2 of their 7 games this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength through the air. The Las Vegas Raiders averaged 269.0 passing yards per game this season, the 4th most in the NFL, and the New York Jets allowed 187.7 passing yards per game, the 5th fewest.
• Weakness against weakness in scoring. The New York Jets averaged 19.6 points per game this season, the 6th fewest in the NFL, and the Las Vegas Raiders allowed 28.1 points per game, the 4th most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Jets a 54.1% chance to beat Las Vegas Raiders. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -125 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -118 (−2.6% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 46.5 points at 49.8% and the under at 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 47.2 points, sits on the 46.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 a 49.0% chance to cover and New York Jets -1.5 51.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 5 games involving the Las Vegas Raiders went over the total.

Recent results against the spread back the Las Vegas Raiders, the underdog here. The Las Vegas Raiders covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

12:00 PM CT at Ford Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Minnesota Vikings 21, Detroit Lions 25. That is an average, not a pick.

The Minnesota Vikings have won 11 straight, a run that goes back to last season, and all six of their games this season. The Detroit Lions have won 4 of their 6 games this season. When these teams last met, on December 25, 2025, the Minnesota Vikings won 23-10 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Minnesota Vikings averaged 162.3 passing yards per game this season, the 4th fewest in the NFL, and the Detroit Lions allowed 291.8 passing yards per game, the most.
• Strength against strength in scoring. The Detroit Lions averaged 30.7 points per game this season, the 2nd most in the NFL, and the Minnesota Vikings allowed 12.3 points per game, the fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Detroit Lions a 61.8% chance to beat Minnesota Vikings. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -170, is priced below the fair price of -162 (−1.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 46 points at 49.8% and the under at 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 46.7 points, sits on the 46 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Minnesota Vikings +3.5 a 51.7% chance to cover and Detroit Lions -3.5 48.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

The total pulls both ways. The last 5 games involving the Minnesota Vikings went under the total. Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Minnesota Vikings. The Detroit Lions failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games (1 push). The Minnesota Vikings covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games (1 push).

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

12:00 PM CT at Paycor Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Tennessee Titans 17, Cincinnati Bengals 30. That is an average, not a pick.

The Tennessee Titans have won 1 of their 7 games this season. The Cincinnati Bengals have won 4 of their 6 games this season.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb in scoring. The Tennessee Titans averaged 15.4 points per game this season, the 2nd fewest in the NFL, and the Cincinnati Bengals allowed 20.3 points per game, the 8th fewest.
• Weakness against weakness on the ground. The Cincinnati Bengals averaged 81.2 rushing yards per game this season, the 3rd fewest in the NFL, and the Tennessee Titans allowed 131.1 rushing yards per game, the 7th most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cincinnati Bengals an 87.7% chance to beat Tennessee Titans. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -670 at BetRivers, is +0.8% value against the fair price of -715.
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 46 points at 49.9% and the under at 50.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 46.8 points, sits on the 46 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tennessee Titans +12.5 a 50.0% chance to cover and Cincinnati Bengals -12.5 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams

3:05 PM CT at SoFi Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Los Angeles Chargers 20, Los Angeles Rams 27. That is an average, not a pick.

The Los Angeles Chargers have lost nine straight, a run that goes back to last season's playoffs, and all six of their games this season. The Los Angeles Rams have won 3 of their 7 games this season. The Los Angeles Chargers come in with more rest: their last game was on October 18, 14 days before this one, while the Los Angeles Rams played seven days before.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb through the air. The Los Angeles Chargers averaged 168.2 passing yards per game this season, the 5th fewest in the NFL, and the Los Angeles Rams allowed 186.3 passing yards per game, the 4th fewest.
• Strength against strength through the air. The Los Angeles Rams averaged 274.1 passing yards per game this season, the 2nd most in the NFL, and the Los Angeles Chargers allowed 206.2 passing yards per game, the 8th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Rams a 71.9% chance to beat Los Angeles Chargers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -265, is priced below the fair price of -256 (−0.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 45.5 points at 49.9% and the under at 50.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 46.4 points, sits on the 45.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Chargers +6.5 a 50.5% chance to cover and Los Angeles Rams -6.5 49.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Los Angeles Chargers failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 10 games (1 push). Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Rams failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent totals lean under. The Los Angeles Chargers went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

3:25 PM CT at Empower Field at Mile High. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Kansas City Chiefs 21, Denver Broncos 21. That is an average, not a pick.

The Denver Broncos have won 5 of their 7 games this season, winning the last three. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 5 of their 6 games this season. When these teams last met, on September 14, 2026, the Kansas City Chiefs won 31-10 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch on the ground. The Kansas City Chiefs averaged 141.5 rushing yards per game this season, the 5th most in the NFL, and the Denver Broncos allowed 133.3 rushing yards per game, the 5th most.
• An uphill climb in scoring. The Denver Broncos averaged 20.6 points per game this season, the 8th fewest in the NFL, and the Kansas City Chiefs allowed 17.2 points per game, the 2nd fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Kansas City Chiefs a 51.3% chance to beat Denver Broncos. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−4.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 41.5 points at 49.3% and the under at 50.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 42.1 points, sits on the 41.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Kansas City Chiefs -1 a 49.3% chance to cover and Denver Broncos +1 50.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Everything points under on the total. Each of the last 3 meetings between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs went under the total. The Kansas City Chiefs went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games. The Denver Broncos went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the spread back the Denver Broncos, the underdog here. The Denver Broncos covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

3:25 PM CT at Hard Rock Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New England Patriots 25, Miami Dolphins 17. That is an average, not a pick.

The New England Patriots have won 4 of their 7 games this season. The Miami Dolphins have won 1 of their 6 games this season. The New England Patriots come in with more rest: their last game was on October 22, ten days before this one, while the Miami Dolphins played seven days before. When these teams last met, on January 4, 2026, the New England Patriots won 38-10 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength on the ground. The Miami Dolphins averaged 131.5 rushing yards per game this season, the 7th most in the NFL, and the New England Patriots allowed 95.3 rushing yards per game, the 8th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New England Patriots a 76.1% chance to beat Miami Dolphins. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -345 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -318 (−1.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 41.5 points at 50.0% and the under at 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 42.4 points, sits on the 41.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New England Patriots -7 a 49.8% chance to cover and Miami Dolphins +7 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the New England Patriots went over the total.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

7:20 PM CT at Northwest Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Philadelphia Eagles 17, Washington Commanders 24. That is an average, not a pick.

The Philadelphia Eagles have won 2 of their 7 games this season, losing the last five. The Washington Commanders have won 1, tied 1 and lost 4 of their 6 games this season. The Washington Commanders come in with more rest: their last game was on October 19, 13 days before this one, while the Philadelphia Eagles played six days before. When these teams last met, on September 13, 2026, the Philadelphia Eagles won 24-22 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Philadelphia Eagles averaged 18.1 points per game this season, the 4th fewest in the NFL, and the Washington Commanders allowed 28.7 points per game, the 2nd most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Washington Commanders a 71.4% chance to beat Philadelphia Eagles. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -265 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -249 (−1.7% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 40.5 points at 49.6% and the under at 50.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 41.2 points, sits on the 40.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Philadelphia Eagles +6.5 a 50.5% chance to cover and Washington Commanders -6.5 49.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Everything points over on the total. Each of the last 3 meetings between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles went over the total. The Washington Commanders went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the spread back the Washington Commanders. The Philadelphia Eagles failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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