New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 1

Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium · NFL

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at Hard Rock Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New England Patriots 25, Miami Dolphins 17. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The New England Patriots have won 4 of their 7 games this season. The Miami Dolphins have won 1 of their 6 games this season. The New England Patriots come in with more rest: their last game was on October 22, ten days before this one, while the Miami Dolphins played seven days before. When these teams last met, on January 4, 2026, the New England Patriots won 38-10 at home.

Matchups to watch

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New England Patriots a 76.1% chance to beat Miami Dolphins. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -345 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -318 (−1.9% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 41.5 points at 50.0% and the under at 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 42.4 points, sits on the 41.5 line.

Spread

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New England Patriots -7 a 49.8% chance to cover and Miami Dolphins +7 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the New England Patriots went over the total.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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