Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 1
Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium · NFL
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at Raymond James Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Atlanta Falcons 21, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 23. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
The Atlanta Falcons have won 3 of their 7 games this season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 2 of their 7 games this season. When these teams last met, on December 11, 2025, the Atlanta Falcons won 29-28 on the road.
Matchups to watch
- Strength against strength on the ground. The Atlanta Falcons averaged 139.9 rushing yards per game this season, the 6th most in the NFL, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed 77.3 rushing yards per game, the 2nd fewest.
- Weakness against weakness through the air. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers averaged 150.4 passing yards per game this season, the fewest in the NFL, and the Atlanta Falcons allowed 255.6 passing yards per game, the 4th most.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 54.8% chance to beat Atlanta Falcons. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -130, is priced below the fair price of -121 (−3.0% value).
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 43 points at 50.0% and the under at 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 43.8 points, sits on the 43 line.
Spread
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Atlanta Falcons +2 a 49.8% chance to cover and Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play
Recent results against the spread back the Atlanta Falcons, the underdog here. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.