Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 1

Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Empower Field at Mile High · NFL

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at Empower Field at Mile High. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Kansas City Chiefs 21, Denver Broncos 21. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Denver Broncos have won 5 of their 7 games this season, winning the last three. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 5 of their 6 games this season. When these teams last met, on September 14, 2026, the Kansas City Chiefs won 31-10 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch

• Mismatch on the ground. The Kansas City Chiefs averaged 141.5 rushing yards per game this season, the 5th most in the NFL, and the Denver Broncos allowed 133.3 rushing yards per game, the 5th most.
• An uphill climb in scoring. The Denver Broncos averaged 20.6 points per game this season, the 8th fewest in the NFL, and the Kansas City Chiefs allowed 17.2 points per game, the 2nd fewest.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Kansas City Chiefs a 51.3% chance to beat Denver Broncos. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−4.1% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 41.5 points at 49.3% and the under at 50.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 42.1 points, sits on the 41.5 line.

Spread

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Kansas City Chiefs -1 a 49.3% chance to cover and Denver Broncos +1 50.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play

Everything points under on the total. Each of the last 3 meetings between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs went under the total. The Kansas City Chiefs went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games. The Denver Broncos went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the spread back the Denver Broncos, the underdog here. The Denver Broncos covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.