Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 1

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Ford Field · NFL

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at Ford Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Minnesota Vikings 21, Detroit Lions 25. That is an average, not a pick.

The story

The Minnesota Vikings have won 11 straight, a run that goes back to last season, and all six of their games this season. The Detroit Lions have won 4 of their 6 games this season. When these teams last met, on December 25, 2025, the Minnesota Vikings won 23-10 at home.

Matchups to watch

• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Minnesota Vikings averaged 162.3 passing yards per game this season, the 4th fewest in the NFL, and the Detroit Lions allowed 291.8 passing yards per game, the most.
• Strength against strength in scoring. The Detroit Lions averaged 30.7 points per game this season, the 2nd most in the NFL, and the Minnesota Vikings allowed 12.3 points per game, the fewest.

Moneyline

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Detroit Lions a 61.8% chance to beat Minnesota Vikings. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -170, is priced below the fair price of -162 (−1.9% value).

Total

The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 46 points at 49.8% and the under at 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 46.7 points, sits on the 46 line.

Spread

The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Minnesota Vikings +3.5 a 51.7% chance to cover and Detroit Lions -3.5 48.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play

The total pulls both ways. The last 5 games involving the Minnesota Vikings went under the total. Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Minnesota Vikings. The Detroit Lions failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games (1 push). The Minnesota Vikings covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games (1 push).

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.