NHL Slate Analysis — Saturday, November 7, 2026

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · NHL

The NHL slate for Saturday, November 7, 2026 has 12 games, the first at 11:30 AM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 12. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.

Every game

Florida Panthers at Washington Capitals

11:30 AM CT at Capital One Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Florida Panthers 3, Washington Capitals 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The Florida Panthers have won 9 of their 16 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Washington Capitals have won 8 of their 14 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 17, 2026, the Florida Panthers won 5-2 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Jacob Markstrom (not yet confirmed, .886 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Florida Panthers and Logan Thompson (not yet confirmed, .887 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Washington Capitals.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Washington Capitals a 52.2% chance to beat Florida Panthers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -115 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -109 (−2.4% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 46.6% and the under at 53.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Florida Panthers +1.5 a 69.0% chance to cover and Washington Capitals -1.5 31.0%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

The total pulls both ways. Each of the last 3 meetings between the Washington Capitals and the Florida Panthers went over the total. Meanwhile, the Florida Panthers went under the total in 5 of 7 road games this season.

Recent results against the puck line back the Florida Panthers, the underdog here. The Florida Panthers covered the puck line in each of the last 3 meetings with the Washington Capitals.

St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

12:00 PM CT at Bridgestone Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is St. Louis Blues 3, Nashville Predators 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The Nashville Predators have won 7 of their 16 games this season, winning the last three. The St. Louis Blues have won 7 of their 16 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on October 17, 2026, the Nashville Predators won 5-2 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Joel Hofer (not yet confirmed, .918 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the St. Louis Blues and Juuse Saros (not yet confirmed, .908 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Nashville Predators.
• Strength against strength on the power play. The Nashville Predators scored on 29.6% of their power plays this season, the 5th highest in the NHL, and the St. Louis Blues allowed opponents to score on 14.3% of their power plays, the 6th lowest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives St. Louis Blues a 50.3% chance to beat Nashville Predators. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors, here by less than a point. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of -101 (−3.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 5.5 goals at 54.4% and the under at 45.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.2 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives St. Louis Blues +1.5 a 72.0% chance to cover and Nashville Predators -1.5 28.0%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Everything points over on the total. Of the last 4 meetings between the Nashville Predators and the St. Louis Blues, 3 went over the total. The St. Louis Blues went over the total in 5 of 7 road games this season.

Recent results against the puck line back the Nashville Predators. The Nashville Predators covered the puck line in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the St. Louis Blues.

New York Rangers at Seattle Kraken

4:00 PM CT at Climate Pledge Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New York Rangers 3, Seattle Kraken 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The New York Rangers have won 9 of their 17 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Seattle Kraken have won 9 of their 15 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 12, 2026, the Seattle Kraken won 4-2 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Dylan Garand (not yet confirmed, .906 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New York Rangers and Philipp Grubauer (not yet confirmed, .886 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Seattle Kraken.
• Weakness against weakness in shots. The New York Rangers averaged 25.5 shots on goal per game this season, tied for the 5th fewest in the NHL, and the Seattle Kraken allowed 30.5 shots on goal per game, tied for the 2nd most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Rangers a 54.2% chance to beat Seattle Kraken. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -125 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -118 (−2.5% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 46.3% and the under at 53.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.3 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Rangers -1.5 a 31.0% chance to cover and Seattle Kraken +1.5 69.0%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Seattle Kraken went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs

6:00 PM CT at Scotiabank Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Montreal Canadiens 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The Montreal Canadiens have won 10 of their 16 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 8 of their 17 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Toronto Maple Leafs come in with more rest: their last game was on November 3, four days before this one, while the Montreal Canadiens played two days before. When these teams last met, on September 29, 2026, the Montreal Canadiens won 3-2 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Jacob Fowler (not yet confirmed, .925 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Montreal Canadiens and Sergei Bobrovsky (not yet confirmed, .889 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
• An uphill climb on the power play. The Montreal Canadiens scored on 14.0% of their power plays this season, the 3rd lowest in the NHL, and the Toronto Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 11.9% of their power plays, the 4th lowest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Montreal Canadiens a 51.1% chance to beat Toronto Maple Leafs. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−4.4% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 51.2% and the under at 48.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.7 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Montreal Canadiens -1.5 a 29.9% chance to cover and Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 70.1%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Against the puck line, the records pull in opposite directions. The Toronto Maple Leafs covered the puck line in 6 of 6 games as underdogs this season. Meanwhile, the Montreal Canadiens failed to cover the puck line in 9 of 11 games as favorites this season. The Montreal Canadiens covered the puck line in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the Montreal Canadiens went over the total.

Utah Mammoth at Ottawa Senators

6:00 PM CT at Canadian Tire Centre. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Utah Mammoth 3, Ottawa Senators 3. That is an average, not a pick.

Both teams have won 10 of their 17 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 7, 2026, the Utah Mammoth won 3-1 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Karel Vejmelka (not yet confirmed, .871 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Utah Mammoth and Samuel Ersson (not yet confirmed, .880 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Ottawa Senators.
• Weakness against weakness on the power play. The Ottawa Senators scored on 12.1% of their power plays this season, the 2nd lowest in the NHL, and the Utah Mammoth allowed opponents to score on 29.6% of their power plays, the 7th highest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Utah Mammoth a 51.3% chance to beat Ottawa Senators. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−4.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 49.9% and the under at 50.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.6 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Utah Mammoth -1.5 a 30.1% chance to cover and Ottawa Senators +1.5 69.9%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Against the puck line, the records pull in opposite directions. The Utah Mammoth failed to cover the puck line in 9 straight games. Meanwhile, the Ottawa Senators failed to cover the puck line in 5 of 6 home games this season.

Recent totals lean over. The Utah Mammoth went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

6:00 PM CT at UBS Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New Jersey Devils 3, New York Islanders 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The New Jersey Devils have won 11 of their 16 games this season, winning the last three. The New York Islanders have won 7 of their 15 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on October 3, 2026, the New York Islanders won 6-0 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Connor Hellebuyck (not yet confirmed, .891 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New Jersey Devils and Ilya Sorokin (not yet confirmed, .911 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New York Islanders.
• Weakness against weakness on the power play. The New York Islanders scored on 14.6% of their power plays this season, the 4th lowest in the NHL, and the New Jersey Devils allowed opponents to score on 32.4% of their power plays, the 4th highest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New Jersey Devils a 58.0% chance to beat New York Islanders. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -148, is priced below the fair price of -138 (−2.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 5.5 goals at 54.6% and the under at 45.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.2 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New Jersey Devils -1.5 a 35.1% chance to cover and New York Islanders +1.5 64.9%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Against the puck line, the records pull in opposite directions. The New York Islanders covered the puck line in each of the last 5 meetings with the New Jersey Devils. Meanwhile, the New York Islanders failed to cover the puck line in 5 of 7 home games this season.

Recent totals lean over. The last 5 games involving the New Jersey Devils went over the total.

Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes

7:00 PM CT at Lenovo Center. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Chicago Blackhawks 2, Carolina Hurricanes 4. That is an average, not a pick.

The Chicago Blackhawks have won 4 of their 17 games this season, losing the last five. The Carolina Hurricanes have won 13 of their 18 games this season, winning four of the last five. When these teams last met, on October 10, 2026, the Carolina Hurricanes won 5-2 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Spencer Knight (not yet confirmed, .892 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Chicago Blackhawks and Pyotr Kochetkov (not yet confirmed, .921 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Carolina Hurricanes.
• An uphill climb in shots. The Chicago Blackhawks averaged 23.1 shots on goal per game this season, the 2nd fewest in the NHL, and the Carolina Hurricanes allowed 22.6 shots on goal per game, the fewest.
• Mismatch in shots. The Carolina Hurricanes averaged 33.3 shots on goal per game this season, the most in the NHL, and the Chicago Blackhawks allowed 30.5 shots on goal per game, tied for the 2nd most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Carolina Hurricanes an 80.3% chance to beat Chicago Blackhawks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -420 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -408 (−0.5% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 46.9% and the under at 53.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Chicago Blackhawks +2.5 a 51.9% chance to cover and Carolina Hurricanes -2.5 48.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. Each of the last 3 meetings between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Chicago Blackhawks went over the total.

Recent results against the puck line back the Carolina Hurricanes. The Chicago Blackhawks failed to cover the puck line in 6 of 8 road games this season.

San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars

7:00 PM CT at American Airlines Center. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is San Jose Sharks 2, Dallas Stars 4. That is an average, not a pick.

The San Jose Sharks have won 7 of their 18 games this season, losing the last four. The Dallas Stars have won 9 of their 16 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on October 5, 2026, the Dallas Stars won 5-0 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Alex Nedeljkovic (not yet confirmed, .899 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the San Jose Sharks and Jake Oettinger (not yet confirmed, .909 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Dallas Stars.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Dallas Stars a 73.0% chance to beat San Jose Sharks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -286 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -270 (−1.5% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 46.8% and the under at 53.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives San Jose Sharks +1.5 a 48.9% chance to cover and Dallas Stars -1.5 51.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Against the puck line, the records lean toward the Dallas Stars. The San Jose Sharks failed to cover the puck line in 7 straight games. The Dallas Stars covered the puck line in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the San Jose Sharks.

Recent totals lean under. The Dallas Stars went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild

7:00 PM CT at Grand Casino Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The Minnesota Wild have won 12 of their 18 games this season, winning the last three. The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 10 of their 15 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on October 8, 2026, the Tampa Bay Lightning won 3-2 at home. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Andrei Vasilevskiy (not yet confirmed, .886 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Calvin Pickard (confirmed) for the Minnesota Wild.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Lightning a 55.6% chance to beat Minnesota Wild. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -132 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -125 (−2.3% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 47.1% and the under at 52.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 a 33.3% chance to cover and Minnesota Wild +1.5 66.7%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

The total pulls both ways. The Tampa Bay Lightning went over the total in 5 of 6 road games this season. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Wild went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the puck line back the Minnesota Wild, the underdog here. The Minnesota Wild covered the puck line in 4 of 5 games as underdogs this season.

Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche

8:00 PM CT at Ball Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Detroit Red Wings 3, Colorado Avalanche 4. That is an average, not a pick.

The Detroit Red Wings have won 7 of their 17 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Colorado Avalanche have won 9 of their 17 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on February 2, 2026, the Detroit Red Wings won 2-0 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are John Gibson (not yet confirmed, .860 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Detroit Red Wings and Mackenzie Blackwood (not yet confirmed, .892 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Colorado Avalanche.
• Strength against strength in shots. The Colorado Avalanche averaged 30.6 shots on goal per game this season, the 3rd most in the NHL, and the Detroit Red Wings allowed 25.2 shots on goal per game, tied for the 6th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche a 67.8% chance to beat Detroit Red Wings. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -225, is priced below the fair price of -210 (−2.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 49.0% and the under at 51.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.6 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Detroit Red Wings +1.5 a 54.7% chance to cover and Colorado Avalanche -1.5 45.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Colorado Avalanche went over the total in 7 of 9 home games this season.

Recent results against the puck line back the Detroit Red Wings, the underdog here. The Detroit Red Wings covered the puck line in 4 of 5 games as underdogs this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins at Los Angeles Kings

8:00 PM CT at crypto.com Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Los Angeles Kings 3. That is an average, not a pick.

The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 5 of their 16 games this season, losing the last four. The Los Angeles Kings have won 5 of their 14 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on November 9, 2025, the Los Angeles Kings won 3-2 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Arturs Silovs (not yet confirmed, .876 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Pittsburgh Penguins and Anton Forsberg (not yet confirmed, .902 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Los Angeles Kings.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Kings a 53.8% chance to beat Pittsburgh Penguins. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -125 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -117 (−3.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 48.1% and the under at 51.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.5 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 a 68.1% chance to cover and Los Angeles Kings -1.5 31.9%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Pittsburgh Penguins went over the total in 7 of 8 road games this season.

Recent results against the puck line back the Pittsburgh Penguins, the underdog here. The Pittsburgh Penguins covered the puck line in 7 of 10 games as underdogs this season.

Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers

9:00 PM CT at Rogers Place. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Vancouver Canucks 3, Edmonton Oilers 5. That is an average, not a pick.

The Vancouver Canucks have won 3 of their 18 games this season, losing the last four. The Edmonton Oilers have won 11 of their 17 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on October 1, 2026, the Edmonton Oilers won 9-7 on the road. This is their third meeting this season, with the series level at 1-1.

Matchups to watch.

• The probable starting goalies are Leevi Merilainen (not yet confirmed, .889 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Vancouver Canucks and Tristan Jarry (not yet confirmed, .903 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Edmonton Oilers.
• Mismatch in scoring. The Edmonton Oilers averaged 4.12 goals per game this season, the most in the NHL, and the Vancouver Canucks allowed 4.61 goals per game, the most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Edmonton Oilers a 75.3% chance to beat Vancouver Canucks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -320 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -305 (−1.2% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 57.6% and the under at 42.4%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 7.2 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Vancouver Canucks +1.5 a 44.8% chance to cover and Edmonton Oilers -1.5 55.2%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Edmonton Oilers went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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