Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM ET · Grand Casino Arena · NHL
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Grand Casino Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The story
The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 10 of their 15 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Minnesota Wild have won 11 of their 17 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Minnesota Wild come in with more rest: their last game was on November 3, four days before this one, while the Tampa Bay Lightning played two days before. When these teams last met, on October 8, 2026, the Tampa Bay Lightning won 3-2 at home. This is their second meeting this season.
Matchups to watch
- The probable starting goalies are Andrei Vasilevskiy (not yet confirmed, .886 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Calvin Pickard (confirmed) for the Minnesota Wild.
- Strength against strength in scoring. The Tampa Bay Lightning averaged 3.73 goals per game this season, the 4th most in the NHL, and the Minnesota Wild allowed 2.24 goals per game, the fewest.
- Strength against strength in shots. The Minnesota Wild averaged 30.2 shots on goal per game this season, tied for the 4th most in the NHL, and the Tampa Bay Lightning allowed 24.7 shots on goal per game, the 4th fewest.
Moneyline
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Lightning a 55.9% chance to beat Minnesota Wild. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -132 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -127 (−1.8% value).
Total
The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 46.8% and the under at 53.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
Puck line
The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 a 33.4% chance to cover and Minnesota Wild +1.5 66.6%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play
Recent totals lean over. The Tampa Bay Lightning went over the total in 5 of 6 road games this season.
Recent results against the puck line back the Minnesota Wild, the underdog here. The Minnesota Wild covered the puck line in 4 of 5 games as underdogs this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.