NHL Slate Analysis — Monday, October 19, 2026
Monday, October 19, 2026 · NHL
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NHL recaps.
The NHL slate for Monday, October 19, 2026 has 4 games, the first at 6:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 4. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers
6:00 PM CT at Madison Square Garden. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Anaheim Ducks 3, New York Rangers 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The Anaheim Ducks have won 4 of their 7 games this season. The New York Rangers have won 6 of their 10 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 19, 2026, the Anaheim Ducks won 5-3 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Ville Husso (confirmed) for the Anaheim Ducks and Dylan Garand (confirmed, .927 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New York Rangers.
- Strength against strength on the power play. The Anaheim Ducks scored on 26.9% of their power plays this season, the 6th highest in the NHL, and the New York Rangers allowed opponents to score on 6.5% of their power plays, the 2nd lowest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Rangers a 58.4% chance to beat Anaheim Ducks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -152 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -141 (−3.1% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 49.6% and the under at 50.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.6 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Anaheim Ducks +1.5 a 64.0% chance to cover and New York Rangers -1.5 36.0%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the puck line back the New York Rangers. The New York Rangers covered the puck line in 5 of 5 home games this season.
The total pulls both ways. The last 4 games involving the Anaheim Ducks went under the total. Meanwhile, the New York Rangers went over the total in 4 of 5 home games this season.
Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers
6:00 PM CT at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Colorado Avalanche 4, Philadelphia Flyers 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Colorado Avalanche have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Philadelphia Flyers have won 1 of their 10 games this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 23, 2026, the Philadelphia Flyers won 7-3 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Mackenzie Blackwood (confirmed, .890 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Colorado Avalanche and Joseph Woll (confirmed, .916 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Philadelphia Flyers.
- Mismatch in shots. The Colorado Avalanche averaged 30.8 shots on goal per game this season, the 4th most in the NHL, and the Philadelphia Flyers allowed 32.9 shots on goal per game, the most.
- An uphill climb on the power play. The Philadelphia Flyers scored on 10.3% of their power plays this season, the 2nd lowest in the NHL, and the Colorado Avalanche allowed opponents to score on 15.0% of their power plays, the 8th lowest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche a 69.0% chance to beat Philadelphia Flyers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -235 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -223 (−1.6% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6 goals at 51.3% and the under at 48.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.3 goals, sits on the 6 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche -1.5 a 46.7% chance to cover and Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 53.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean under. The last 4 games involving the Philadelphia Flyers went under the total.
San Jose Sharks at Toronto Maple Leafs
6:30 PM CT at Scotiabank Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is San Jose Sharks 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their 9 games this season, losing the last three. The San Jose Sharks have won 4 of their 8 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on April 2, 2026, the San Jose Sharks won 4-1 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Yaroslav Askarov (confirmed, .848 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the San Jose Sharks and Sergei Bobrovsky (confirmed, .890 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Toronto Maple Leafs a 55.4% chance to beat San Jose Sharks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -130 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -124 (−1.9% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 54.4% and the under at 45.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 7.0 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives San Jose Sharks +1.5 a 66.5% chance to cover and Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 33.5%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the puck line back the San Jose Sharks, the underdog here. The Toronto Maple Leafs failed to cover the puck line in 5 of 5 home games this season.
Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth
8:00 PM CT at Delta Center. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Utah Mammoth 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 3 of their 9 games this season, losing the last three. The Utah Mammoth have won 6 of their 9 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on March 14, 2026, the Pittsburgh Penguins won 4-3 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Arturs Silovs (confirmed, .875 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Pittsburgh Penguins and Sebastian Cossa (confirmed, .833 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Utah Mammoth.
- Mismatch in scoring. The Utah Mammoth averaged 3.67 goals per game this season, the 6th most in the NHL, and the Pittsburgh Penguins allowed 3.56 goals per game, the 7th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Utah Mammoth a 63.4% chance to beat Pittsburgh Penguins. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -185, is priced below the fair price of -173 (−2.3% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 55.5% and the under at 44.5%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 7 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 a 59.3% chance to cover and Utah Mammoth -1.5 40.7%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. The Pittsburgh Penguins went over the total in 5 of 6 road games this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.