Toronto Maple Leafs defeat San Jose Sharks 3-1: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Mon, Oct 19, 2026 · NHL · San Jose Sharks 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Toronto Maple Leafs won 3–1, covering the –1.5 spread, and the game went under the 6.5 total.
San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs final score and game recap
San Jose struck first at Scotiabank Arena on Monday night. Mason Marchment's goal in the opening period gave the Sharks a 1–0 lead, with Yaroslav Askarov stopping 28 of 30 shots. Toronto tied it in the second when Auston Matthews scored and added two assists; Sergei Bobrovsky made 30 saves on 31 shots. The Maple Leafs pulled away in the third, scoring twice more to finish 3–1.
Who covered the spread in San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs?
Toronto Maple Leafs covered the –1.5 spread, winning by two goals as required. The line held steady at –1.5 from open to close.
Did San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs go over or under the total?
The game went under the 6.5 total. Four combined goals—one in the first period, one in the second, and two in the third—left the total 2.5 goals short of the line.
How did AiQ's San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs predictions do?
AiQ finished 1–0 across every graded pick.
- Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs at –139 — WIN (+$71.94 on a $100 bet)
San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs game prop results: team totals and first period
- Toronto Maple Leafs team total 4.5: Under (paid –260); they scored 3.
- San Jose Sharks team total 3.5: Under (paid –160); they scored 1.
- First-period moneyline: San Jose Sharks won the first period (paid +106).
- First-period total 1.5: Under (paid +135); 1 goal was scored.
San Jose Sharks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Removing vigorish from the –139 Toronto Maple Leafs moneyline leaves implied probabilities of 44 percent for San Jose and 56 percent for Toronto, with a 4.2 percent bookmaker margin. Toronto's –139 line paid $71.94 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed a –130 price at –1.9 percent, indicating the model liked the side but not the price. The market's implied win probability of 55 percent matched AiQ's calibrated estimate.
San Jose Sharks and Toronto Maple Leafs betting trends: 2026-27 season
San Jose Sharks sit at 4–5 after nine games, with a 2–2 home record and 2–3 on the road. They are 4–5 against the spread and 4–5 on the over/under. Their last five results are L, L, W, L, L, giving them a two-game losing streak.
Toronto Maple Leafs are 4–6 after ten games, 3–4 at home and 1–2 away. They are 4–5 against the spread and 5–4 on the over/under. Their recent five outcomes are W, L, L, L, W.
What's next for San Jose Sharks and Toronto Maple Leafs?
The Sharks travel to Montreal on Tuesday, October 20, to face the Canadiens. The Maple Leafs visit Columbus the same night for a matchup with the Blue Jackets.