NFL Slate Analysis — Thursday, October 15, 2026
Thursday, October 15, 2026 · NFL
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NFL recaps.
The NFL slate for Thursday, October 15, 2026 has 1 game, at 7:15 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos
7:15 PM CT at Empower Field at Mile High. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Seattle Seahawks 22, Denver Broncos 20. That is an average, not a pick.
Both teams have won 3 of their 5 games this season.
Matchups to watch.
- An uphill climb in total yards. The Denver Broncos averaged 269.0 yards per game this season, the 3rd fewest in the NFL, and the Seattle Seahawks allowed 251.2 yards per game, the fewest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Seattle Seahawks a 57.0% chance to beat Denver Broncos. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -145 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -133 (−3.6% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 40.5 points at 50.2% and the under at 49.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 41.3 points, sits on the 40.5 line.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Seattle Seahawks -2.5 a 50.6% chance to cover and Denver Broncos +2.5 49.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean under. The Denver Broncos went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.