Denver Broncos defeat Seattle Seahawks 17-14: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Thu, Oct 15, 2026 · NFL · Seattle Seahawks 14, Denver Broncos 17
Denver Broncos won 17–14, covering the +2.5 spread, and the game finished under the 40.5 total.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos final score and game recap
The Broncos' defense dominated for three quarters before Seattle mounted a fourth-quarter rally. The third quarter remained scoreless. Seattle added 11 points in the fourth to tie at 14-14.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba led Seattle with 12 catches for 134 yards. Sam Darnold completed 27 of 51 passes for 278 yards with two interceptions. For Denver, Dobbins carried 17 times for 41 yards and a touchdown, while Bo Nix went 17 of 27 for 107 yards without a turnover.
Who covered the spread in Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos?
Denver Broncos covered as the +2.5 underdog, winning by three points. The spread opened at +3 and closed at +2.5, with late money moving toward Denver.
Did Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos go over or under the total?
The game finished at 31 points, well under the 40.5 total. The total opened at 41 and closed at 40.5.
How did AiQ's Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos predictions do?
AiQ posted a 37–33 record across all graded picks for this contest.
- Moneyline: Picked Seattle Seahawks at -149, loss.
- Player props: 37–32, net loss of $357.68 on $100 per pick.
AiQ's moneyline pick was priced at -145 (best available), a negative-expected-value situation despite the model's 57% confidence matching the market's implied probability of 57%.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos player prop results
AiQ's player-prop slate finished 37–32, netting a $357.68 loss on $100 stakes.
- Bo Nix under 216.5 pass rush yards at -115 – actual 109 – win.
- Emanuel Wilson anytime touchdown at +115 – actual 0 – loss.
- Evan Engram over 20.5 receiving yards at -114 – actual 13 – loss.
- Courtland Sutton under 32.5 receiving yards at -114 – actual 19 – win.
- Sam Darnold under 232.5 pass rush yards at -112 – actual 297 – loss.
- Bo Nix under 197.5 passing yards at -112 – actual 107 – win.
- George Holani over 1.5 receptions at -156 – actual 0 – loss.
- Emanuel Wilson over 10.5 receiving yards at -105 – actual 0 – loss.
- RJ Harvey over 41.5 rush-reception yards at -113 – actual 56 – win.
- Cooper Kupp under 22.5 receiving yards at -109 – actual 50 – loss.
- Jaylen Waddle under 45.5 receiving yards at -111 – actual 24 – win.
- Tory Horton over 0.5 receiving yards at -112 – actual 13 – win.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos game prop results: first quarter, first half and team totals
- First-quarter moneyline: Seattle Seahawks won the quarter, paying -120.
- First-quarter total 7.5: Under, paying -142; 3 points scored.
- First-half total 20.5: Under, paying -125; 17 points scored.
- First-half moneyline: Denver Broncos won the half, paying +114.
- First-half spread: Denver Broncos +0.5 covered, paying -108.
- Seattle Seahawks team total 21.5: Under, paying -120; they scored 14.
- Denver Broncos team total 19.5: Under, paying -104; they scored 17.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The closing moneyline listed Seattle at -149 and Denver at +127, implying a 58% win probability for Seattle and 42% for Denver after vig removal. The bookmaker's vig sat at 3.9%. Denver's +127 payout turned a $100 wager into $127 profit, marking an upset as the underdog prevailed. AiQ's moneyline expectation was calibrated at 57% for Seattle, matching the market's implied probability, but the best available price of -145 represented negative expected value. The spread shifted half a point toward Denver, a move that proved correct as the Broncos covered.
Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos betting trends: 2026 season
Seattle sits at 3–3 overall, 2–1 at home and 1–2 on the road. Against the spread they are 1–3–2 in six games with a recorded spread, and their total line record is even at 3 overs and 3 unders. Their last five results read loss, loss, win, loss, win, leaving them on a two-game losing streak.
Denver improves to 4–2 overall, unbeaten at home (3–0) and 1–2 away. They are 4–2 against the spread and 1–5 on the total in six games. Their recent run is win, win, loss, win, win, giving them a two-game winning streak.
What's next for Seattle Seahawks and Denver Broncos?
Seattle hosts the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, October 25. Denver travels to face the Arizona Cardinals the same day.