NCAAF Slate Analysis — Tuesday, October 27, 2026
Tuesday, October 27, 2026 · NCAAF
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NCAAF recaps.
The NCAAF slate for Tuesday, October 27, 2026 has 2 games, the first at 6:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 2. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Delaware Blue Hens at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
6:00 PM CT at Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Delaware Blue Hens 28, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 29. That is an average, not a pick.
Both teams have won 3 of their 7 games this season. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers come in with more rest: their last game was on October 14, 13 days before this one, while the Delaware Blue Hens played seven days before. When these teams last met, on October 3, 2025, the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers won 27-24 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness on the ground. The Delaware Blue Hens averaged 113.7 rushing yards per game this season, the 20th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers allowed 184.1 rushing yards per game, the 24th most.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers averaged 21.3 points per game this season, tied for the 26th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Delaware Blue Hens allowed 28.4 points per game, the 32nd most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Western Kentucky Hilltoppers a 54.3% chance to beat Delaware Blue Hens. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -120 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -119 (−0.5% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 55.5 points at 49.9% and the under at 50.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 56.3 points, sits on the 55.5 line.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Delaware Blue Hens +1.5 a 48.8% chance to cover and Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -1.5 51.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Sam Houston Bearkats at Missouri State Bears
7:00 PM CT at Robert W. Plaster Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Sam Houston Bearkats 23, Missouri State Bears 29. That is an average, not a pick.
The Sam Houston Bearkats have won 1 of their 7 games this season, losing the last four. The Missouri State Bears have won 2 of their 7 games this season.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness on the ground. The Sam Houston Bearkats averaged 83.0 rushing yards per game this season, the fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Missouri State Bears allowed 184.4 rushing yards per game, the 23rd most.
- Weakness against weakness on the ground. The Missouri State Bears averaged 126.9 rushing yards per game this season, tied for the 27th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Sam Houston Bearkats allowed 200.7 rushing yards per game, the 10th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Missouri State Bears a 67.2% chance to beat Sam Houston Bearkats. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -205, is priced near the fair price of -205 (−0.1% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 51.5 points at 50.2% and the under at 49.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 52.4 points, sits on the 51.5 line.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Sam Houston Bearkats +6 a 50.1% chance to cover and Missouri State Bears -6 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.