Missouri State Bears defeat Sam Houston Bearkats 24-3: Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Tue, Oct 27, 2026 · NCAAF · Sam Houston Bearkats 3, Missouri State Bears 24
The Missouri State Bears beat the Sam Houston Bearkats 24-3 on Tuesday, October 27, 2026, at Robert W. Plaster Stadium. The Missouri State Bears covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites. The game went under the closing total of 51.5, with 27 points combined. AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears final score and game recap
The Missouri State Bears led 7-3 after the first quarter and 10-3 at halftime. They outscored the Sam Houston Bearkats 14-0 in the second half, 14-0 in the fourth quarter alone. They led at the end of every quarter.
The leading performers, from the box score:
- DJ Bailey (Sam Houston Bearkats): 20/35 passing for 258 yards, 0 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- Grady O'Neill (Sam Houston Bearkats): 6 catches for 74 yards.
- Henry Belin IV (Missouri State Bears): 12/18 passing for 184 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions.
- Jmariyae Robinson (Missouri State Bears): 7 catches for 102 yards, 1 receiving touchdown.
Who covered the spread in Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears?
The Missouri State Bears covered the spread as 5.5-point favorites, winning by 21 points.
The spread opened at Missouri State Bears -6.5 and closed at Missouri State Bears -5.5.
Did Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears go over or under the total?
The game went under: 27 points combined against a closing total of 51.5, under by 24.5. 13 of the 27 points came in the first half.
The total opened and closed at 51.5.
How did AiQ's Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears predictions do?
AiQ's moneyline pick in this game won.
- Moneyline: the Missouri State Bears to win at -205, a win (+$48.78 on a $100 bet).
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears game prop results: team totals, first half and first quarter
AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.
- Missouri State Bears team total 28.5: the under, paying -115, with 24 scored.
- First-half total 25.5: the under, paying -108, with 13 points scored.
- Sam Houston Bearkats team total 23.5: the under, paying -115, with 3 scored.
- First-quarter total 10.5: the under, paying -145, with 10 points scored.
- First-quarter moneyline: Missouri State Bears won the first quarter, paying -175.
- First-half moneyline: Missouri State Bears won the first half, paying -192.
- First-half spread: Missouri State Bears -3.5 covered, paying -110.
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Missouri State Bears odds: sportsbook value and line movement
Shortly before the start, the consensus moneyline had the Sam Houston Bearkats at +171 and the Missouri State Bears at -209. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made the Missouri State Bears a 65% favorite. The Missouri State Bears won as the favorite at -209: $47.85 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, the Missouri State Bears, the price before the game was -205: priced near fair (−0.1% value).
The spread moved toward the Sam Houston Bearkats between the open and the close, and the Missouri State Bears covered.
Sam Houston Bearkats and Missouri State Bears betting trends: 2026 season
This result left the Sam Houston Bearkats 1-7 in the 2026 regular season (1-3 at home, 0-4 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 2 times and under 5 times. That made it five straight losses for the Sam Houston Bearkats.
This result left the Missouri State Bears 3-5 in the 2026 regular season (3-1 at home, 0-4 away or at neutral sites). Against the spread, they covered in 3 of 7 games with a closing line on file. Their games went over the closing total 3 times and under 4 times.
What's next for Sam Houston Bearkats and Missouri State Bears?
Next for the Sam Houston Bearkats: at the Jacksonville State Gamecocks on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Next for the Missouri State Bears: at the Florida International Panthers on Saturday, November 7, 2026.