What is on the MLB slate for Thursday, September 24, 2026?

MLB Slate Analysis — Thursday, September 24, 2026

Thursday, September 24, 2026 · MLB

These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the MLB recaps.

The MLB slate for Thursday, September 24, 2026 has 12 games, the first at 11:35 AM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 12. Of AiQ's picks on this slate, 1 has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.

Best value

Houston Astros at Athletics: Under 11 runs (+105 at Caesars, +4.0% value).

Every game

St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates

11:35 AM CT at PNC Park.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Pittsburgh Pirates a 60% confidence rating to beat St. Louis Cardinals, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 60.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 60.3%. The best price, -159 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -152 (−1.7% value).
Total: AiQ gives the under 7 runs a 60% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.9%. The best price, -110 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -107 (−1.2% value).
Run line: AiQ gives St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 a 57% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 62.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 61.5%. The best price, -170 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -164 (−1.2% value).

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals

1:10 PM CT at Kauffman Stadium.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Chicago White Sox a 60% confidence rating to beat Kansas City Royals, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 55.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 55.3%. The best price, -130 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -125 (−1.9% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 9 runs a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 47.7%. The price on record, +100, is priced below the fair price of +106 (−3.0% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Chicago White Sox -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 39.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 41.9%. The best price, +130 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of +154 (−9.6% value).

Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs

1:20 PM CT at Wrigley Field.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Chicago Cubs a 60% confidence rating to beat Miami Marlins, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 67.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 67.4%. The best price, -209 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -204 (−0.8% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 7 runs a 60% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -109 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -104 (−2.4% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Chicago Cubs -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 44.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 46.5%. The best price, +110 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of +124 (−6.2% value).

New York Mets at Texas Rangers

1:35 PM CT at Globe Life Field.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Texas Rangers a 58% confidence rating to beat New York Mets, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 54.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 54.6%. The best price, -129 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -121 (−2.8% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 8.5 runs a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 47.9%. The best price, +100 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +105 (−2.3% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Texas Rangers -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 32.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 36.3%. The best price, +165 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of +204 (−12.9% value).

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

2:10 PM CT at Coors Field.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Arizona Diamondbacks a 60% confidence rating to beat Colorado Rockies, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 64.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 64.6%. The best price, -186 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -181 (−1.0% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 10 runs a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of -104 (−2.5% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 52.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 53.3%. The best price, -117 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -110 (−2.6% value).

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies

5:05 PM CT at Citizens Bank Park.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Philadelphia Phillies a 58% confidence rating to beat Milwaukee Brewers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 55.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 55.6%. The best price, -134 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -126 (−2.8% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 7.5 runs a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 52.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 52.1%. The best price, -119 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -111 (−3.4% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 63.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 63.1%. The best price, -178 at FanDuel, is priced near the fair price of -176 (−0.5% value).

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox

5:45 PM CT at Fenway Park.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Cleveland Guardians a 60% confidence rating to beat Boston Red Sox, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 46.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 45.5%. The best price, +112 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of +117 (−2.3% value).
Total: AiQ gives the under 6.5 runs a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.5%. The best price, +102 at BetRivers, is priced near the fair price of +103 (−0.5% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Cleveland Guardians +1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 66.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 65.1%. The best price, -194 at FanDuel, is priced near the fair price of -194 (+0.1% value).

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees

6:05 PM CT at Yankee Stadium.

Moneyline: AiQ gives New York Yankees a 60% confidence rating to beat Tampa Bay Rays, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 57.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 57.6%. The best price, -145 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -136 (−2.5% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 6 runs a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.2%. The best price, -110 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−2.9% value).
Run line: AiQ gives New York Yankees -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 32.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 36.1%. The best price, +168 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +206 (−12.6% value).

Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves

6:15 PM CT at Truist Park.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Atlanta Braves a 67% confidence rating to beat Cincinnati Reds, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 68.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 68.6%. The best price, -220 at FanDuel, is priced near the fair price of -217 (−0.4% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 8 runs a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.6%. The best price, -110 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−2.4% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Atlanta Braves -1.5 a 60% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.8%. The best price, -102 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +112 (−6.6% value).

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners

8:40 PM CT at T-Mobile Park.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Seattle Mariners a 60% confidence rating to beat Los Angeles Angels, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 64.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 64.6%. The best price, -195 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -181 (−2.6% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 7 runs a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.4%. The best price, +100 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of +103 (−1.6% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Seattle Mariners -1.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 43.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 45.1%. The best price, +112 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +132 (−8.6% value).

Houston Astros at Athletics

8:40 PM CT at Sutter Health Park.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Houston Astros a 60% confidence rating to beat Athletics, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 62.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 62.1%. The best price, -175 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -163 (−2.5% value).
Total: AiQ gives the under 11 runs a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, +105 at Caesars, is +4.0% value against the fair price of -103.
Run line: AiQ gives Houston Astros -1.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.0%. The best price, -109 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of +100 (−4.1% value).

San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers

9:10 PM CT at Dodger Stadium.

Moneyline: AiQ gives Los Angeles Dodgers a 60% confidence rating to beat San Diego Padres, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 61.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 61.2%. The best price, -170 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -157 (−2.9% value).
Total: AiQ gives the over 7.5 runs a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 53.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 52.3%. The best price, -115 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -114 (−0.5% value).
Run line: AiQ gives Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 39.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 42.0%. The best price, +130 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of +154 (−9.4% value).