Red Bull New York vs Nashville SC Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 1

Sun, Nov 1, 4:30 PM ET · GEODIS Park · MLS

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Red Bull New York at Nashville SC is on Sunday, November 1, 2026, at GEODIS Park.

The story

Red Bull New York have won 11, drawn 6 and lost 15 of their 32 matches this season, winning two of the last five. Nashville SC have won 21, drawn 8 and lost 3 of their 32 matches this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on August 19, 2026, Nashville SC won 1-0 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch

• An uphill climb in scoring. Red Bull New York averaged 1.34 goals per match this season, the 8th fewest in Major League Soccer, and Nashville SC conceded 0.72 goals per match, the fewest.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Nashville SC a 57% confidence rating to beat Red Bull New York, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 64.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 64.8%. The best price, -190 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -182 (−1.5% value).

Total goals

AiQ gives the under 3.5 goals a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 53.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 53.3%. The best price, -127 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -115 (−4.6% value).

Trends in play

The total pulls both ways. Red Bull New York went under the total in 8 of their last 10 matches. Meanwhile, Nashville SC went over the total in 10 of 13 home matches this season.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.