Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 10
Tue, Nov 10, 11:00 PM ET · Moda Center · NBA
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers is on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at Moda Center.
The story
The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 8 of their 10 games this season, winning the last four. The Portland Trail Blazers have won 6 of their 9 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on December 31, 2025, the Oklahoma City Thunder won 124-95 at home.
Matchups to watch
- Strength against strength in scoring. The Portland Trail Blazers averaged 119.3 points per game this season, the 3rd most in the NBA, and the Oklahoma City Thunder allowed 104.2 points per game, tied for the 2nd fewest.
Moneyline
AiQ gives Oklahoma City Thunder a 62% confidence rating to beat Portland Trail Blazers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 53.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 54.5%. The best price, -122 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -117 (−1.9% value).
Total
AiQ gives the over 226.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−1.4% value).
Spread
AiQ gives Portland Trail Blazers +2.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.2%. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of -101 (−6.1% value).
Trends in play
Recent results against the spread back the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder covered the spread in 4 straight games.
Recent totals lean under. The Oklahoma City Thunder went under the total in 4 of 5 road games this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.