Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 10

Tue, Nov 10, 8:00 PM ET · Xfinity Mobile Arena · NBA

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers is on Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

The story

The Boston Celtics have won 8 of their 10 games this season, winning the last three. The Philadelphia 76ers have won 9 of their 11 games this season, winning four of the last five. When these teams last met, on May 2, 2026, the Philadelphia 76ers won 109-100 on the road.

Matchups to watch

• Strength against strength from three. The Boston Celtics made 37.6% of their three-point attempts this season, tied for the 6th highest in the NBA, and the Philadelphia 76ers allowed opponents to make 31.6% of their three-point attempts, tied for the 2nd lowest.
• An uphill climb in shooting. The Philadelphia 76ers made 44.6% of their shots this season, the 8th lowest in the NBA, and the Boston Celtics allowed opponents to make 42.3% of their shots, the 2nd lowest.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Boston Celtics a 66% confidence rating to beat Philadelphia 76ers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 52.7%. The best price, -116 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -106 (−4.0% value).

Total

AiQ gives the over 218.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.8%. The best price, -105 at DraftKings, is priced near the fair price of -104 (−0.4% value).

Spread

AiQ gives Boston Celtics -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of +104 (−6.6% value).

Trends in play

Everything points under on the total. The last 5 games involving the Boston Celtics went under the total. Of the last 11 meetings between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Boston Celtics, 8 went under the total. The Philadelphia 76ers went under the total in 4 of 5 home games this season.

Recent results against the spread back the Philadelphia 76ers, the underdog here. The Philadelphia 76ers covered the spread in 8 of the last 11 meetings with the Boston Celtics.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.