NHL Slate Analysis — Monday, November 9, 2026
Monday, November 9, 2026 · NHL
The NHL slate for Monday, November 9, 2026 has 3 games, the first at 7:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 3. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers
7:00 PM CT at Rogers Place. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New York Rangers 3, Edmonton Oilers 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The New York Rangers have won 10 of their 18 games this season, winning the last three. The Edmonton Oilers have won 12 of their 18 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on November 1, 2026, the Edmonton Oilers won 4-1 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Dylan Garand (confirmed, .906 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New York Rangers and Devon Levi (confirmed, .888 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Edmonton Oilers.
- Strength against strength on the power play. The Edmonton Oilers scored on 33.8% of their power plays this season, the 3rd highest in the NHL, and the New York Rangers allowed opponents to score on 10.9% of their power plays, the 2nd lowest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Edmonton Oilers a 60.5% chance to beat New York Rangers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -162, is priced below the fair price of -153 (−2.1% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 50.3% and the under at 49.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.7 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Rangers +1.5 a 62.1% chance to cover and Edmonton Oilers -1.5 37.9%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks
8:30 PM CT at Rogers Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Philadelphia Flyers 3, Vancouver Canucks 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Vancouver Canucks have won 3 of their 19 games this season, losing the last five. The Philadelphia Flyers have won 4 of their 19 games this season, losing the last three. When these teams last met, on December 30, 2025, the Philadelphia Flyers won 6-3 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Joseph Woll (confirmed, .898 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Philadelphia Flyers and Leevi Merilainen (confirmed, .889 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Vancouver Canucks.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Philadelphia Flyers averaged 2.21 goals per game this season, the 2nd fewest in the NHL, and the Vancouver Canucks allowed 4.58 goals per game, the most.
- Weakness against weakness in shots. The Vancouver Canucks averaged 21.8 shots on goal per game this season, the fewest in the NHL, and the Philadelphia Flyers allowed 29.1 shots on goal per game, the 7th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Philadelphia Flyers a 55.5% chance to beat Vancouver Canucks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -134 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -125 (−3.0% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 46.9% and the under at 53.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Philadelphia Flyers -1.5 a 33.1% chance to cover and Vancouver Canucks +1.5 66.9%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the puck line back the Philadelphia Flyers. The Vancouver Canucks failed to cover the puck line in 7 of their last 10 games.
New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks
9:00 PM CT at SAP Center at San Jose. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New York Islanders 4, San Jose Sharks 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The San Jose Sharks have won 7 of their 19 games this season, losing the last five. The New York Islanders have won 7 of their 16 games this season, losing the last three. When these teams last met, on March 7, 2026, the New York Islanders won 2-1 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Ilya Sorokin (confirmed, .909 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New York Islanders and Yaroslav Askarov (confirmed, .885 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the San Jose Sharks.
- Weakness against weakness in shots. The New York Islanders averaged 25.4 shots on goal per game this season, the 5th fewest in the NHL, and the San Jose Sharks allowed 30.1 shots on goal per game, tied for the 4th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Islanders a 56.6% chance to beat San Jose Sharks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -137 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -131 (−2.0% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 47.8% and the under at 52.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.5 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Islanders -1.5 a 34.0% chance to cover and San Jose Sharks +1.5 66.0%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Against the puck line, the records lean toward the New York Islanders. The San Jose Sharks failed to cover the puck line in 7 of 8 home games this season. The New York Islanders covered the puck line in 5 of 7 road games this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.