NHL Slate Analysis — Wednesday, October 28, 2026
Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · NHL
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NHL recaps.
The NHL slate for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 has 4 games, the first at 6:30 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 4. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals
6:30 PM CT at Capital One Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Philadelphia Flyers 3, Washington Capitals 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The Philadelphia Flyers have won 3 of their 14 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Washington Capitals have won 6 of their 10 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Washington Capitals come in with more rest: their last game was on October 24, four days before this one, while the Philadelphia Flyers played the day before. When these teams last met, on March 31, 2026, the Washington Capitals won 6-4 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Joseph Woll (confirmed, .904 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Philadelphia Flyers and Logan Thompson (confirmed, .901 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Washington Capitals.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Washington Capitals a 68.7% chance to beat Philadelphia Flyers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -230, is priced below the fair price of -219 (−1.5% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6 goals at 50.4% and the under at 49.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.3 goals, sits on the 6 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Philadelphia Flyers +1.5 a 54.3% chance to cover and Washington Capitals -1.5 45.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
The total pulls both ways. The Philadelphia Flyers went under the total in 5 of 6 road games this season. Meanwhile, of the last 4 meetings between the Washington Capitals and the Philadelphia Flyers, 3 went under the total. The Washington Capitals went over the total in 5 of 7 home games this season.
Recent results against the puck line back the Philadelphia Flyers, the underdog here. The Philadelphia Flyers covered the puck line in 8 of 11 games as underdogs this season.
Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers
7:30 PM CT at Rogers Place. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Calgary Flames 3, Edmonton Oilers 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The Calgary Flames have won 5 of their 11 games this season, winning the last four. The Edmonton Oilers have won 8 of their 12 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on February 4, 2026, the Calgary Flames won 4-3 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Devin Cooley (confirmed, .914 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Calgary Flames and Tristan Jarry (confirmed, .869 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Edmonton Oilers.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Calgary Flames averaged 2.55 goals per game this season, tied for the 5th fewest in the NHL, and the Edmonton Oilers allowed 3.50 goals per game, tied for the 5th most.
- Mismatch in scoring. The Edmonton Oilers averaged 4.25 goals per game this season, the most in the NHL, and the Calgary Flames allowed 3.73 goals per game, the 2nd most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Edmonton Oilers a 63.0% chance to beat Calgary Flames. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -180, is priced below the fair price of -170 (−2.1% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 51.8% and the under at 48.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.7 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Calgary Flames +1.5 a 58.4% chance to cover and Edmonton Oilers -1.5 41.6%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. The last 5 games involving the Edmonton Oilers went over the total.
Against the puck line, the records lean toward the Calgary Flames. The Calgary Flames covered the puck line in 4 straight games. The Calgary Flames covered the puck line in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Edmonton Oilers. The Edmonton Oilers failed to cover the puck line in 5 of 7 home games this season.
New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche
8:00 PM CT at Ball Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New Jersey Devils 3, Colorado Avalanche 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The New Jersey Devils have won 8 of their 12 games this season, winning the last four. The Colorado Avalanche have won 6 of their 12 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Colorado Avalanche come in with more rest: their last game was on October 25, three days before this one, while the New Jersey Devils played the day before. When these teams last met, on October 20, 2026, the New Jersey Devils won 4-3 at home. This is their second meeting this season.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Jake Allen (confirmed, .886 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New Jersey Devils and Mackenzie Blackwood (confirmed, .892 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Colorado Avalanche.
- Strength against strength in scoring. The Colorado Avalanche averaged 4.08 goals per game this season, the 2nd most in the NHL, and the New Jersey Devils allowed 2.75 goals per game, the 6th fewest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche a 57.8% chance to beat New Jersey Devils. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -148, is priced below the fair price of -137 (−3.1% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 48.4% and the under at 51.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.5 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New Jersey Devils +1.5 a 64.6% chance to cover and Colorado Avalanche -1.5 35.4%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. The Colorado Avalanche went over the total in 5 of 6 home games this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken
9:00 PM CT at Climate Pledge Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Seattle Kraken 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 7 of their 14 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Seattle Kraken have won 7 of their 12 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Seattle Kraken come in with more rest: their last game was on October 24, four days before this one, while the Toronto Maple Leafs played two days before. When these teams last met, on January 29, 2026, the Seattle Kraken won 5-2 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Sergei Bobrovsky (confirmed, .896 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Toronto Maple Leafs and Philipp Grubauer (not yet confirmed, .907 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Seattle Kraken.
- Mismatch in scoring. The Toronto Maple Leafs averaged 3.71 goals per game this season, the 5th most in the NHL, and the Seattle Kraken allowed 3.50 goals per game, tied for the 5th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Toronto Maple Leafs a 55.6% chance to beat Seattle Kraken. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -134 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -125 (−2.9% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 52.6% and the under at 47.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.8 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 a 33.8% chance to cover and Seattle Kraken +1.5 66.2%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Everything points over on the total. The Toronto Maple Leafs went over the total in 6 of 6 road games this season. The Seattle Kraken went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games.
Against the puck line, the records lean toward the Seattle Kraken. The Toronto Maple Leafs failed to cover the puck line in 7 of 8 games as favorites this season. The Seattle Kraken covered the puck line in 7 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.