NHL Slate Analysis — Monday, October 26, 2026
Monday, October 26, 2026 · NHL
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NHL recaps.
The NHL slate for Monday, October 26, 2026 has 3 games, the first at 6:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 3. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Los Angeles Kings at New York Rangers
6:00 PM CT at Madison Square Garden. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Los Angeles Kings 3, New York Rangers 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Los Angeles Kings have won 2 of their 9 games this season, winning two of the last five. The New York Rangers have won 7 of their 13 games this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on March 16, 2026, the Los Angeles Kings won 4-1 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Darcy Kuemper (confirmed, .889 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Los Angeles Kings and James Reimer (confirmed) for the New York Rangers.
- An uphill climb on the power play. The Los Angeles Kings scored on 14.8% of their power plays this season, the 6th lowest in the NHL, and the New York Rangers allowed opponents to score on 7.7% of their power plays, tied for the 2nd lowest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Rangers a 55.1% chance to beat Los Angeles Kings. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -130 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -123 (−2.5% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 5.5 goals at 53.7% and the under at 46.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.1 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Kings +1.5 a 67.5% chance to cover and New York Rangers -1.5 32.5%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the puck line back the New York Rangers. The New York Rangers covered the puck line in 6 of 6 home games this season.
Recent totals lean over. The New York Rangers went over the total in 5 of 6 home games this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs at Calgary Flames
7:30 PM CT at Scotiabank Saddledome. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 7 of their 13 games this season, winning the last four. The Calgary Flames have won 4 of their 10 games this season, winning the last three. When these teams last met, on February 2, 2026, the Toronto Maple Leafs won 4-2 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Sergei Bobrovsky (not yet confirmed, .895 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Toronto Maple Leafs and Devin Cooley (confirmed, .911 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Calgary Flames.
- Mismatch in scoring. The Toronto Maple Leafs averaged 3.85 goals per game this season, the 5th most in the NHL, and the Calgary Flames allowed 3.90 goals per game, the 3rd most.
- Strength against strength on the power play. The Calgary Flames scored on 32.0% of their power plays this season, the 4th highest in the NHL, and the Toronto Maple Leafs allowed opponents to score on 4.8% of their power plays, the lowest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Toronto Maple Leafs a 55.8% chance to beat Calgary Flames. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -135, is priced below the fair price of -126 (−2.9% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 52.3% and the under at 47.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.8 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 a 34.9% chance to cover and Calgary Flames +1.5 65.1%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the puck line back the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Toronto Maple Leafs covered the puck line in 5 of 5 road games this season.
The total pulls both ways. The Toronto Maple Leafs went over the total in 5 of 5 road games this season. Meanwhile, the Calgary Flames went under the total in 4 of 5 home games this season.
Detroit Red Wings at Edmonton Oilers
8:30 PM CT at Rogers Place. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Detroit Red Wings 3, Edmonton Oilers 4. That is an average, not a pick.
The Detroit Red Wings have won 4 of their 11 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Edmonton Oilers have won 8 of their 11 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on December 11, 2025, the Edmonton Oilers won 4-1 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Michal Postava (confirmed) for the Detroit Red Wings and Tristan Jarry (confirmed, .861 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Edmonton Oilers.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Detroit Red Wings averaged 2.55 goals per game this season, the 7th fewest in the NHL, and the Edmonton Oilers allowed 3.55 goals per game, the 6th most.
- Mismatch on the power play. The Edmonton Oilers scored on 35.1% of their power plays this season, the 2nd highest in the NHL, and the Detroit Red Wings allowed opponents to score on 34.2% of their power plays, the 3rd highest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Edmonton Oilers a 62.3% chance to beat Detroit Red Wings. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -178 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -165 (−2.6% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 55.1% and the under at 44.9%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 7.0 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Detroit Red Wings +1.5 a 59.5% chance to cover and Edmonton Oilers -1.5 40.5%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the Edmonton Oilers went over the total.
Against the puck line, the records lean toward the Edmonton Oilers. The Edmonton Oilers covered the puck line in 7 of their last 10 games. The Detroit Red Wings failed to cover the puck line in 7 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.