NHL Slate Analysis — Sunday, October 25, 2026
Sunday, October 25, 2026 · NHL
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NHL recaps.
The NHL slate for Sunday, October 25, 2026 has 5 games, the first at 2:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 5. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks
2:00 PM CT at United Center. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Florida Panthers 4, Chicago Blackhawks 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Florida Panthers have won 5 of their 11 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Chicago Blackhawks have won 3 of their 10 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 25, 2026, the Florida Panthers won 5-1 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Akira Schmid (confirmed, .866 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Florida Panthers and Spencer Knight (confirmed, .888 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Chicago Blackhawks.
- An uphill climb in shots. The Chicago Blackhawks averaged 21.4 shots on goal per game this season, the 2nd fewest in the NHL, and the Florida Panthers allowed 24.3 shots on goal per game, the 5th fewest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Florida Panthers a 63.9% chance to beat Chicago Blackhawks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -185, is priced below the fair price of -177 (−1.5% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 47.1% and the under at 52.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.4 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Florida Panthers -1.5 a 40.9% chance to cover and Chicago Blackhawks +1.5 59.1%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the puck line back the Chicago Blackhawks, the underdog here. The Florida Panthers failed to cover the puck line in 5 of 6 games as favorites this season.
New York Islanders at Dallas Stars
5:00 PM CT at American Airlines Center. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New York Islanders 2, Dallas Stars 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Dallas Stars have won 6 of their 10 games this season, winning the last four. The New York Islanders have won 5 of their 10 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on March 26, 2026, the New York Islanders won 2-1 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Ilya Sorokin (confirmed, .934 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the New York Islanders and Jake Oettinger (confirmed, .939 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Dallas Stars.
- An uphill climb in scoring. The Dallas Stars averaged 2.50 goals per game this season, tied for the 6th fewest in the NHL, and the New York Islanders allowed 2.20 goals per game, the 3rd fewest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Dallas Stars a 63.8% chance to beat New York Islanders. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -182 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -176 (−1.2% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 5.5 goals at 46.2% and the under at 53.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 5.7 goals, sits on the 5.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Islanders +1.5 a 60.8% chance to cover and Dallas Stars -1.5 39.2%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Everything points under on the total. The Dallas Stars went under the total in 9 of their last 10 games. The last 5 games involving the New York Islanders went under the total.
Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets
6:00 PM CT at Princess Auto Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Montreal Canadiens 3, Winnipeg Jets 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Winnipeg Jets have won 4 of their 10 games this season, losing the last four. The Montreal Canadiens have won 5 of their 10 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on February 4, 2026, the Montreal Canadiens won 5-1 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Jacob Fowler (confirmed, .911 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Montreal Canadiens and Stuart Skinner (not yet confirmed, .911 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Winnipeg Jets.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Montreal Canadiens a 52.3% chance to beat Winnipeg Jets. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -118, is priced below the fair price of -110 (−3.4% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 5.5 goals at 54.1% and the under at 45.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.2 goals, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Montreal Canadiens -1.5 a 29.6% chance to cover and Winnipeg Jets +1.5 70.4%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
Against the puck line, the records lean toward the Winnipeg Jets. The Winnipeg Jets covered the puck line in 6 of 6 games as underdogs this season. The Montreal Canadiens failed to cover the puck line in 8 of their last 10 games.
The total pulls both ways. The Montreal Canadiens went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Winnipeg Jets went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.
Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators
7:00 PM CT at Bridgestone Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Colorado Avalanche 4, Nashville Predators 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Colorado Avalanche have won 6 of their 11 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Nashville Predators have won 3 of their 10 games this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 16, 2026, the Nashville Predators won 7-3 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Scott Wedgewood (confirmed, .912 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Colorado Avalanche and Justus Annunen (confirmed) for the Nashville Predators.
- Mismatch in shots. The Colorado Avalanche averaged 30.0 shots on goal per game this season, the 6th most in the NHL, and the Nashville Predators allowed 30.1 shots on goal per game, the 7th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche a 68.8% chance to beat Nashville Predators. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -235 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -221 (−1.9% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 51.5% and the under at 48.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.7 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Colorado Avalanche -1.5 a 47.1% chance to cover and Nashville Predators +1.5 52.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Minnesota Wild at Vancouver Canucks
9:00 PM CT at Rogers Arena. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Minnesota Wild 4, Vancouver Canucks 3. That is an average, not a pick.
The Vancouver Canucks have won 2 of their 12 games this season, losing the last nine. The Minnesota Wild have won 7 of their 12 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Vancouver Canucks come in with more rest: their last game was on October 22, three days before this one, while the Minnesota Wild played the day before. When these teams last met, on April 2, 2026, the Minnesota Wild won 5-2 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- The probable starting goalies are Calvin Pickard (confirmed) for the Minnesota Wild and Leevi Merilainen (confirmed, .917 save percentage in the 2026-27 season) for the Vancouver Canucks.
- Mismatch in shots. The Minnesota Wild averaged 31.1 shots on goal per game this season, the 3rd most in the NHL, and the Vancouver Canucks allowed 33.5 shots on goal per game, the most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Minnesota Wild a 64.4% chance to beat Vancouver Canucks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -196 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -181 (−2.8% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 6.5 goals at 51.0% and the under at 49.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 6.7 goals, sits on the 6.5 line.
- Puck line: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Minnesota Wild -1.5 a 42.3% chance to cover and Vancouver Canucks +1.5 57.7%. AiQ's read matches the market price, so AiQ has no edge on the puck line.
Trends in play.
The total pulls both ways. Each of the last 3 meetings between the Vancouver Canucks and the Minnesota Wild went over the total. Meanwhile, the Minnesota Wild went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.
Against the puck line, the records lean toward the Minnesota Wild. The Vancouver Canucks failed to cover the puck line in 7 of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Wild covered the puck line in 5 of 7 road games this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.