NFL Slate Analysis — Sunday, November 8, 2026

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · NFL

These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NFL recaps.

The NFL slate for Sunday, November 8, 2026 has 13 games, the first at 8:30 AM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 13. Of AiQ's picks on this slate, 1 has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.

Best value

• Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts: Dallas Cowboys on the moneyline (-200 at FanDuel, +1.9% value).

Every game

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons

8:30 AM CT at Santiago Bernabéu, a neutral site. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Cincinnati Bengals 28, Atlanta Falcons 25. That is an average, not a pick.

The Cincinnati Bengals have won 5 of their 7 games this season, winning the last three. The Atlanta Falcons have won 3 of their 8 games this season, winning two of the last five.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cincinnati Bengals a 62.3% chance to beat Atlanta Falcons. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -176 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -165 (−2.3% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 52.5 points at 48.8% and the under at 51.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 52.9 points, sits on the 52.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cincinnati Bengals -3 a 52.4% chance to cover and Atlanta Falcons +3 47.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints

12:00 PM CT at Caesars Superdome. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Cleveland Browns 20, New Orleans Saints 24. That is an average, not a pick.

The Cleveland Browns have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five. The New Orleans Saints have won 2 of their 7 games this season. The New Orleans Saints come in with more rest: their last game was on October 25, 14 days before this one, while the Cleveland Browns played seven days before.

Matchups to watch.

• Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Cleveland Browns averaged 17.4 points per game this season, the 4th fewest in the NFL, and the New Orleans Saints allowed 27.7 points per game, the 4th most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New Orleans Saints a 63.3% chance to beat Cleveland Browns. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -198 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -172 (−4.8% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 42.5 points at 50.9% and the under at 49.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 43.6 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cleveland Browns +3.5 a 50.0% chance to cover and New Orleans Saints -3.5 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent results against the spread back the Cleveland Browns, the underdog here. The Cleveland Browns covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

12:00 PM CT at Lucas Oil Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Dallas Cowboys 29, Indianapolis Colts 24. That is an average, not a pick.

The Indianapolis Colts have won 2 of their 8 games this season, losing the last four. The Dallas Cowboys have won 3 of their 8 games this season, winning two of the last five.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch in scoring. The Dallas Cowboys averaged 27.4 points per game this season, the 7th most in the NFL, and the Indianapolis Colts allowed 27.8 points per game, the 3rd most.
• Weakness against weakness in total yards. The Indianapolis Colts averaged 291.1 yards per game this season, the 7th fewest in the NFL, and the Dallas Cowboys allowed 385.4 yards per game, the most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Dallas Cowboys a 67.9% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -200 at FanDuel, is +1.9% value against the fair price of -212.
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 51.5 points at 50.2% and the under at 49.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 52.4 points, sits on the 51.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Dallas Cowboys -4.5 a 50.2% chance to cover and Indianapolis Colts +4.5 49.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Dallas Cowboys went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

12:00 PM CT at Bank of America Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Denver Broncos 24, Carolina Panthers 21. That is an average, not a pick.

The Denver Broncos have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning the last four. The Carolina Panthers have won 3 of their 7 games this season. The Carolina Panthers come in with more rest: their last game was on October 29, ten days before this one, while the Denver Broncos played seven days before.

Matchups to watch.

• Weakness against weakness on the ground. The Denver Broncos averaged 92.6 rushing yards per game this season, the 7th fewest in the NFL, and the Carolina Panthers allowed 140.7 rushing yards per game, the 3rd most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Denver Broncos a 59.2% chance to beat Carolina Panthers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -148, is priced below the fair price of -145 (−0.8% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 44.5 points at 50.9% and the under at 49.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 45.6 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Denver Broncos -3 a 48.9% chance to cover and Carolina Panthers +3 51.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent results against the spread back the Denver Broncos. The Denver Broncos covered the spread in 4 straight games.

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins

12:00 PM CT at Hard Rock Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Detroit Lions 29, Miami Dolphins 22. That is an average, not a pick.

The Detroit Lions have won 5 of their 7 games this season, winning the last three. The Miami Dolphins have won 1 of their 7 games this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Miami Dolphins averaged 166.7 passing yards per game this season, the 3rd fewest in the NFL, and the Detroit Lions allowed 276.6 passing yards per game, the most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Detroit Lions a 73.9% chance to beat Miami Dolphins. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -300 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -284 (−1.4% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 50.5 points at 49.7% and the under at 50.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 51.2 points, sits on the 50.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Detroit Lions -6.5 a 49.8% chance to cover and Miami Dolphins +6.5 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders

12:00 PM CT at Northwest Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Los Angeles Rams 27, Washington Commanders 22. That is an average, not a pick.

The Los Angeles Rams have won 4 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Washington Commanders have won 2, tied 1 and lost 4 of their 7 games this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch through the air. The Los Angeles Rams averaged 258.9 passing yards per game this season, the 6th most in the NFL, and the Washington Commanders allowed 243.0 passing yards per game, the 5th most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Rams a 68.0% chance to beat Washington Commanders. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -225, is priced below the fair price of -212 (−1.8% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 48 points at 49.9% and the under at 50.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 48.8 points, sits on the 48 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Rams -4.5 a 49.7% chance to cover and Washington Commanders +4.5 50.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Washington Commanders went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles

12:00 PM CT at Lincoln Financial Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New York Giants 21, Philadelphia Eagles 18. That is an average, not a pick.

The Philadelphia Eagles have won 2 of their 8 games this season, losing the last six. The New York Giants have won 4, tied 1 and lost 2 of their 7 games this season. The New York Giants come in with more rest: their last game was on October 25, 14 days before this one, while the Philadelphia Eagles played seven days before. When these teams last met, on October 26, 2025, the Philadelphia Eagles won 38-20 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb through the air. The Philadelphia Eagles averaged 177.1 passing yards per game this season, tied for the 6th fewest in the NFL, and the New York Giants allowed 184.9 passing yards per game, the 3rd fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Giants a 59.7% chance to beat Philadelphia Eagles. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -155 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -148 (−1.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 37.5 points at 50.7% and the under at 49.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 38.6 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Giants -3 a 49.2% chance to cover and Philadelphia Eagles +3 50.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the New York Giants. The Philadelphia Eagles failed to cover the spread in 9 of their last 10 games. The New York Giants covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent totals lean over. The New York Giants went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs

12:00 PM CT at Arrowhead Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New York Jets 19, Kansas City Chiefs 29. That is an average, not a pick.

The New York Jets have won 2 of their 8 games this season, losing the last three. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 5 of their 7 games this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength through the air. The Kansas City Chiefs averaged 249.0 passing yards per game this season, the 8th most in the NFL, and the New York Jets allowed 194.0 passing yards per game, the 5th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Kansas City Chiefs an 82.4% chance to beat New York Jets. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -500, is priced below the fair price of -467 (−1.2% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 47.5 points at 50.4% and the under at 49.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 48.5 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Jets +9.5 a 49.5% chance to cover and Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 50.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean under. The Kansas City Chiefs went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers

3:05 PM CT at SoFi Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Houston Texans 24, Los Angeles Chargers 18. That is an average, not a pick.

The Los Angeles Chargers have lost ten straight, a run that goes back to last season's playoffs, and all seven of their games this season. The Houston Texans have won 2 of their 7 games this season. The Houston Texans come in with more rest: their last game was on October 25, 14 days before this one, while the Los Angeles Chargers played seven days before. When these teams last met, on December 27, 2025, the Houston Texans won 20-16 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength through the air. The Houston Texans averaged 253.4 passing yards per game this season, the 7th most in the NFL, and the Los Angeles Chargers allowed 198.4 passing yards per game, the 7th fewest.
• Weakness against weakness through the air. The Los Angeles Chargers averaged 177.1 passing yards per game this season, tied for the 6th fewest in the NFL, and the Houston Texans allowed 244.0 passing yards per game, the 4th most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Houston Texans a 68.5% chance to beat Los Angeles Chargers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -230, is priced below the fair price of -217 (−1.7% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 40.5 points at 50.3% and the under at 49.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 41.3 points, sits on the 40.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Houston Texans -5.5 a 49.3% chance to cover and Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 50.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Los Angeles Chargers failed to cover the spread in 9 of their last 10 games (1 push). Meanwhile, the Houston Texans failed to cover the spread in 4 of 5 games as favorites this season.

Recent totals lean under. The Los Angeles Chargers went under the total in 9 of their last 10 games.

The Houston Texans arrive cold. The Houston Texans lost 4 of 5 games as favorites this season.

Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers

3:25 PM CT at Levi's Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Las Vegas Raiders 21, San Francisco 49ers 32. That is an average, not a pick.

The Las Vegas Raiders have won 4 of their 8 games this season, winning one of the last five. The San Francisco 49ers have won 6 of their 7 games this season. The San Francisco 49ers come in with more rest: their last game was on October 25, 14 days before this one, while the Las Vegas Raiders played seven days before.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb on the ground. The Las Vegas Raiders averaged 77.3 rushing yards per game this season, the 2nd fewest in the NFL, and the San Francisco 49ers allowed 89.0 rushing yards per game, the 4th fewest.
• Mismatch in scoring. The San Francisco 49ers averaged 28.1 points per game this season, the 5th most in the NFL, and the Las Vegas Raiders allowed 28.8 points per game, the 2nd most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives San Francisco 49ers an 81.4% chance to beat Las Vegas Raiders. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -440, is priced near the fair price of -437 (−0.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 52 points at 49.7% and the under at 50.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 52.8 points, sits on the 52 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Las Vegas Raiders +9.5 a 50.2% chance to cover and San Francisco 49ers -9.5 49.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 6 games involving the Las Vegas Raiders went over the total.

Recent results against the spread back the Las Vegas Raiders, the underdog here. The Las Vegas Raiders covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

3:25 PM CT at Lumen Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Arizona Cardinals 15, Seattle Seahawks 25. That is an average, not a pick.

The Arizona Cardinals have won 3 of their 8 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Seattle Seahawks have won 4 of their 8 games this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on September 20, 2026, the Seattle Seahawks won 31-7 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Seattle Seahawks a 79.6% chance to beat Arizona Cardinals. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -420 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -390 (−1.5% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 39.5 points at 50.1% and the under at 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 40.4 points, sits on the 39.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Arizona Cardinals +8.5 a 50.0% chance to cover and Seattle Seahawks -8.5 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Seattle Seahawks covered the spread in each of the last 3 meetings with the Arizona Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Arizona Cardinals covered the spread in 4 of 5 road games this season.

Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots

3:25 PM CT at Gillette Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Green Bay Packers 21, New England Patriots 25. That is an average, not a pick.

Both teams have won 5 of their 8 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Green Bay Packers come in with more rest: their last game was on October 29, ten days before this one, while the New England Patriots played seven days before.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb on the ground. The Green Bay Packers averaged 60.6 rushing yards per game this season, the fewest in the NFL, and the New England Patriots allowed 92.6 rushing yards per game, the 6th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New England Patriots a 62.0% chance to beat Green Bay Packers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -174 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -163 (−2.3% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 44.5 points at 50.3% and the under at 49.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 45.4 points, sits on the 44.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Green Bay Packers +3 a 47.8% chance to cover and New England Patriots -3 52.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

The total pulls both ways. The last 5 games involving the New England Patriots went over the total. Meanwhile, the last 5 games involving the Green Bay Packers went under the total.

Recent results against the spread back the Green Bay Packers, the underdog here. The Green Bay Packers covered the spread in 5 straight games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears

7:20 PM CT at Soldier Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21, Chicago Bears 28. That is an average, not a pick.

The Chicago Bears have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning the last three. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength on the ground. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers averaged 168.6 rushing yards per game this season, the most in the NFL, and the Chicago Bears allowed 86.8 rushing yards per game, the 3rd fewest.
• Strength against strength on the ground. The Chicago Bears averaged 150.8 rushing yards per game this season, the 2nd most in the NFL, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed 80.0 rushing yards per game, the fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Chicago Bears a 71.4% chance to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -260 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -250 (−1.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 47.5 points at 49.3% and the under at 50.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 48.2 points, sits on the 47.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 a 49.2% chance to cover and Chicago Bears -6 50.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Chicago Bears. The Chicago Bears covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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