NFL Slate Analysis — Thursday, November 5, 2026
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · NFL
The NFL slate for Thursday, November 5, 2026 has 1 game, at 7:15 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens
7:15 PM CT at M&T Bank Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Jacksonville Jaguars 26, Baltimore Ravens 15. That is an average, not a pick.
The Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of their 8 games this season, losing the last three. The Jacksonville Jaguars have won 5 of their 7 games this season.
Matchups to watch.
- Strength against strength on the ground. The Baltimore Ravens averaged 133.5 rushing yards per game this season, the 6th most in the NFL, and the Jacksonville Jaguars allowed 77.4 rushing yards per game, the fewest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Jacksonville Jaguars an 82.5% chance to beat Baltimore Ravens. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -500 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -470 (−1.1% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 39.5 points at 50.3% and the under at 49.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 40.5 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Jacksonville Jaguars -10 a 49.5% chance to cover and Baltimore Ravens +10 50.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the spread back the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Baltimore Ravens failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.