NFL Slate Analysis — Sunday, October 25, 2026

Sunday, October 25, 2026 · NFL

These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NFL recaps.

The NFL slate for Sunday, October 25, 2026 has 12 games, the first at 8:30 AM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 12. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.

Every game

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

8:30 AM CT at Stade de France, a neutral site. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Pittsburgh Steelers 24, New Orleans Saints 20. That is an average, not a pick.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 4 of their 6 games this season. The New Orleans Saints have won 2 of their 6 games this season.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Pittsburgh Steelers a 60.1% chance to beat New Orleans Saints. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -159 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -151 (−2.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 43.5 points at 48.7% and the under at 51.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 43.9 points, sits on the 43.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Pittsburgh Steelers -3 a 50.1% chance to cover and New Orleans Saints +3 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the Pittsburgh Steelers went over the total.

Recent results against the spread back the New Orleans Saints, the underdog here. The New Orleans Saints covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens

12:00 PM CT at M&T Bank Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Cincinnati Bengals 25, Baltimore Ravens 22. That is an average, not a pick.

The Cincinnati Bengals have won 3 of their 5 games this season. The Baltimore Ravens have won 4 of their 6 games this season. The Cincinnati Bengals come in with more rest: their last game was on October 11, 14 days before this one, while the Baltimore Ravens played seven days before. When these teams last met, on December 14, 2025, the Baltimore Ravens won 24-0 on the road.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cincinnati Bengals a 58.7% chance to beat Baltimore Ravens. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -150 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -142 (−2.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 46.5 points at 49.7% and the under at 50.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 47.2 points, sits on the 46.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cincinnati Bengals -3 a 48.9% chance to cover and Baltimore Ravens +3 51.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans

12:00 PM CT at Nissan Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Cleveland Browns 20, Tennessee Titans 18. That is an average, not a pick.

The Cleveland Browns have won 4 of their 6 games this season. The Tennessee Titans have won 1 of their 6 games this season. When these teams last met, on December 7, 2025, the Tennessee Titans won 31-29 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb in scoring. The Tennessee Titans averaged 14.0 points per game this season, tied for the fewest in the NFL, and the Cleveland Browns allowed 20.3 points per game, tied for the 5th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cleveland Browns a 55.0% chance to beat Tennessee Titans. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -130 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -122 (−2.6% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 37 points at 50.1% and the under at 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 37.8 points, sits on the 37 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Cleveland Browns -2 a 50.2% chance to cover and Tennessee Titans +2 49.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent results against the spread back the Cleveland Browns. The Cleveland Browns covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings

12:00 PM CT at U.S. Bank Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Indianapolis Colts 17, Minnesota Vikings 25. That is an average, not a pick.

The Minnesota Vikings have won ten straight, a run that goes back to last season, and all five of their games this season. The Indianapolis Colts have won 2 of their 6 games this season. The Minnesota Vikings come in with more rest: their last game was on October 11, 14 days before this one, while the Indianapolis Colts played seven days before.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Minnesota Vikings a 75.1% chance to beat Indianapolis Colts. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -320 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -301 (−1.5% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 41.5 points at 50.1% and the under at 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 42.4 points, sits on the 41.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Indianapolis Colts +7 a 50.8% chance to cover and Minnesota Vikings -7 49.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent results against the spread back the Minnesota Vikings. The Minnesota Vikings covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games (1 push).

Recent totals lean under. The last 4 games involving the Minnesota Vikings went under the total.

Miami Dolphins at New York Jets

12:00 PM CT at MetLife Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Miami Dolphins 18, New York Jets 22. That is an average, not a pick.

The Miami Dolphins have lost six straight, a run that goes back to last season, and all five of their games this season. The New York Jets have won 2 of their 6 games this season. The Miami Dolphins come in with more rest: their last game was on October 11, 14 days before this one, while the New York Jets played seven days before. When these teams last met, on December 7, 2025, the Miami Dolphins won 34-10 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb in scoring. The Miami Dolphins averaged 14.0 points per game this season, tied for the fewest in the NFL, and the New York Jets allowed 20.3 points per game, tied for the 5th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Jets a 65.8% chance to beat Miami Dolphins. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -200 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -192 (−1.3% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 39.5 points at 49.3% and the under at 50.7%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 40.1 points, sits on the 39.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Miami Dolphins +3.5 a 49.0% chance to cover and New York Jets -3.5 51.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

New York Giants at Houston Texans

12:00 PM CT at Reliant Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New York Giants 16, Houston Texans 27. That is an average, not a pick.

The New York Giants have won 3, tied 1 and lost 2 of their 6 games this season. The Houston Texans have won 2 of their 6 games this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength through the air. The Houston Texans averaged 270.2 passing yards per game this season, the 4th most in the NFL, and the New York Giants allowed 190.2 passing yards per game, the 5th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Houston Texans an 81.7% chance to beat New York Giants. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -475 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -447 (−1.1% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 42.5 points at 50.8% and the under at 49.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 43.6 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New York Giants +10.5 a 50.8% chance to cover and Houston Texans -10.5 49.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The New York Giants went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

San Francisco 49ers at Atlanta Falcons

12:00 PM CT at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is San Francisco 49ers 27, Atlanta Falcons 24. That is an average, not a pick.

The San Francisco 49ers have won all six of their games this season. The Atlanta Falcons have won 2 of their 6 games this season. When these teams last met, on October 19, 2025, the San Francisco 49ers won 20-10 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength on the ground. The San Francisco 49ers averaged 128.2 rushing yards per game this season, the 6th most in the NFL, and the Atlanta Falcons allowed 83.2 rushing yards per game, the 4th fewest.
• Strength against strength on the ground. The Atlanta Falcons averaged 149.5 rushing yards per game this season, the 4th most in the NFL, and the San Francisco 49ers allowed 90.2 rushing yards per game, the 8th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives San Francisco 49ers a 57.3% chance to beat Atlanta Falcons. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -142 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -134 (−2.3% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 50 points at 50.1% and the under at 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 50.8 points, sits on the 50 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives San Francisco 49ers -2.5 a 51.4% chance to cover and Atlanta Falcons +2.5 48.6%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the Atlanta Falcons went over the total.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers

12:00 PM CT at Bank of America Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21, Carolina Panthers 24. That is an average, not a pick.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 1 of their 6 games this season. The Carolina Panthers have won 3 of their 5 games this season. When these teams last met, on January 3, 2026, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 16-14 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch on the ground. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers averaged 127.8 rushing yards per game this season, the 7th most in the NFL, and the Carolina Panthers allowed 132.2 rushing yards per game, the 6th most.
• Strength against strength in total yards. The Carolina Panthers averaged 404.4 yards per game this season, the 2nd most in the NFL, and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers allowed 299.5 yards per game, the 4th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Carolina Panthers a 59.6% chance to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -150 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -148 (−0.7% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 44.5 points at 50.0% and the under at 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 45.3 points, sits on the 44.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 a 51.2% chance to cover and Carolina Panthers -3 48.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent results against the spread back the Carolina Panthers. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers failed to cover the spread in 9 of their last 10 games.

Denver Broncos at Arizona Cardinals

3:05 PM CT at State Farm Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Denver Broncos 25, Arizona Cardinals 20. That is an average, not a pick.

The Denver Broncos have won 4 of their 6 games this season. The Arizona Cardinals have won 2 of their 6 games this season. The Denver Broncos come in with more rest: their last game was on October 15, ten days before this one, while the Arizona Cardinals played seven days before.

Matchups to watch.

• Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Denver Broncos averaged 19.0 points per game this season, the 7th fewest in the NFL, and the Arizona Cardinals allowed 29.7 points per game, tied for the most.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Denver Broncos a 68.3% chance to beat Arizona Cardinals. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -225 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -215 (−1.3% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 43.5 points at 50.1% and the under at 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 44.4 points, sits on the 43.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Denver Broncos -4.5 a 50.1% chance to cover and Arizona Cardinals +4.5 49.9%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean under. The Denver Broncos went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Denver Broncos. The Arizona Cardinals failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. The Denver Broncos covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

3:25 PM CT at Ford Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Green Bay Packers 26, Detroit Lions 30. That is an average, not a pick.

The Green Bay Packers have won 4 of their 6 games this season, winning the last three. The Detroit Lions have won 3 of their 5 games this season. The Detroit Lions come in with more rest: their last game was on October 11, 14 days before this one, while the Green Bay Packers played seven days before. When these teams last met, on November 27, 2025, the Green Bay Packers won 31-24 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch through the air. The Green Bay Packers averaged 269.3 passing yards per game this season, the 5th most in the NFL, and the Detroit Lions allowed 297.4 passing yards per game, the most.
• Strength against strength through the air. The Detroit Lions averaged 279.6 passing yards per game this season, the 3rd most in the NFL, and the Green Bay Packers allowed 193.3 passing yards per game, the 6th fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Detroit Lions a 64.3% chance to beat Green Bay Packers. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -190 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -180 (−1.8% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 55.5 points at 49.8% and the under at 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 56.2 points, sits on the 55.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Green Bay Packers +3.5 a 49.6% chance to cover and Detroit Lions -3.5 50.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 5 games involving the Detroit Lions went over the total.

Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders

3:25 PM CT at Allegiant Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Los Angeles Rams 27, Las Vegas Raiders 23. That is an average, not a pick.

The Las Vegas Raiders have won 3 of their 6 games this season, losing the last three. The Los Angeles Rams have won 2 of their 6 games this season.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch in total yards. The Los Angeles Rams averaged 401.3 yards per game this season, the 3rd most in the NFL, and the Las Vegas Raiders allowed 371.7 yards per game, the 5th most.
• Strength against strength through the air. The Las Vegas Raiders averaged 263.5 passing yards per game this season, the 7th most in the NFL, and the Los Angeles Rams allowed 167.0 passing yards per game, the 2nd fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Rams a 61.7% chance to beat Las Vegas Raiders. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -174 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -161 (−2.9% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 48.5 points at 49.8% and the under at 50.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 49.2 points, sits on the 48.5 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Los Angeles Rams -3.5 a 47.6% chance to cover and Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 52.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the Las Vegas Raiders went over the total.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Las Vegas Raiders. The Las Vegas Raiders covered the spread in 4 of 5 games as underdogs this season. The Los Angeles Rams failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks

7:20 PM CT at Lumen Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Kansas City Chiefs 21, Seattle Seahawks 23. That is an average, not a pick.

The Kansas City Chiefs have won all five of their games this season. The Seattle Seahawks have won 3 of their 6 games this season. The Seattle Seahawks come in with more rest: their last game was on October 15, ten days before this one, while the Kansas City Chiefs played seven days before.

Matchups to watch.

• Strength against strength in total yards. The Kansas City Chiefs averaged 414.0 yards per game this season, the most in the NFL, and the Seattle Seahawks allowed 237.3 yards per game, the fewest.

• Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Seattle Seahawks a 58.8% chance to beat Kansas City Chiefs. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -150 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -143 (−2.0% value).
• Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 43 points at 49.7% and the under at 50.3%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 43.8 points, sits on the 43 line.
• Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Kansas City Chiefs +3 a 51.0% chance to cover and Seattle Seahawks -3 49.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean under. The Kansas City Chiefs went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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