NFL Slate Analysis — Thursday, October 22, 2026
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · NFL
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NFL recaps.
The NFL slate for Thursday, October 22, 2026 has 1 game, at 7:15 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
New England Patriots at Chicago Bears
7:15 PM CT at Soldier Field. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is New England Patriots 24, Chicago Bears 27. That is an average, not a pick.
The New England Patriots have won 4 of their 6 games this season, winning the last three. The Chicago Bears have won 4 of their 6 games this season.
Matchups to watch.
- Strength against strength on the ground. The New England Patriots averaged 130.7 rushing yards per game this season, the 6th most in the NFL, and the Chicago Bears allowed 90.5 rushing yards per game, the 8th fewest.
- Strength against strength in total yards. The Chicago Bears averaged 388.3 yards per game this season, the 5th most in the NFL, and the New England Patriots allowed 300.8 yards per game, the 6th fewest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Chicago Bears a 59.2% chance to beat New England Patriots. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -155, is priced below the fair price of -145 (−2.6% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 50.5 points at 51.2% and the under at 48.8%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 51.7 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives New England Patriots +3 a 51.0% chance to cover and Chicago Bears -3 49.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.