NFL Slate Analysis — Thursday, September 24, 2026
Thursday, September 24, 2026 · NFL
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NFL recaps.
The NFL slate for Thursday, September 24, 2026 has 1 game, at 7:15 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers
7:15 PM CT at Lambeau Field.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Green Bay Packers a 63% confidence rating to beat Atlanta Falcons, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 68.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 68.7%. The price on record, -238, is priced below the fair price of -216 (−3.0% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 43.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.9%. The best price, -112 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -106 (−2.4% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Green Bay Packers -4.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.8%. The best price, -110 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of +102 (−5.3% value).