NCAAF Slate Analysis — Tuesday, November 10, 2026
Tuesday, November 10, 2026 · NCAAF
The NCAAF slate for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 has 3 games, the first at 6:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 3. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Western Michigan Broncos at Akron Zips
6:00 PM CT at InfoCision Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Western Michigan Broncos 32, Akron Zips 17. That is an average, not a pick.
The Akron Zips have won 1 of their 9 games this season, losing the last seven. The Western Michigan Broncos have won 6 of their 9 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Western Michigan Broncos come in with more rest: their last game was on October 31, ten days before this one, while the Akron Zips played seven days before.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness in total yards. The Western Michigan Broncos averaged 327.0 yards per game this season, the 20th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Akron Zips allowed 407.1 yards per game, the 23rd most.
- An uphill climb in scoring. The Akron Zips averaged 19.1 points per game this season, the 10th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Western Michigan Broncos allowed 19.2 points per game, tied for the 23rd fewest.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Western Michigan Broncos an 85.3% chance to beat Akron Zips. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -600, is priced near the fair price of -582 (−0.4% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 48.5 points at 48.6% and the under at 51.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 48.8 points, sits on the 48.5 line.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Western Michigan Broncos -14 a 50.5% chance to cover and Akron Zips +14 49.5%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the spread back the Akron Zips, the underdog here. The Western Michigan Broncos failed to cover the spread in 4 of 5 road games this season.
Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons
6:00 PM CT at Doyt L. Perry Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Kent State Golden Flashes 20, Bowling Green Falcons 26. That is an average, not a pick.
The Bowling Green Falcons have won 2 of their 9 games this season, losing the last three. The Kent State Golden Flashes have won 3 of their 9 games this season, winning one of the last five.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness on the ground. The Kent State Golden Flashes averaged 99.2 rushing yards per game this season, the 7th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Bowling Green Falcons allowed 212.0 rushing yards per game, the 6th most.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Bowling Green Falcons averaged 17.8 points per game this season, the 8th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Kent State Golden Flashes allowed 30.6 points per game, the 25th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Bowling Green Falcons a 66.1% chance to beat Kent State Golden Flashes. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The best price, -205 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -195 (−1.7% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 44.5 points at 49.6% and the under at 50.4%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 45.1 points, sits on the 44.5 line.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Kent State Golden Flashes +5.5 a 50.0% chance to cover and Bowling Green Falcons -5.5 50.0%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the spread back the Bowling Green Falcons. The Kent State Golden Flashes failed to cover the spread in 5 of 5 road games this season.
Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks
7:00 PM CT at Yager Stadium. Averaged over the outcomes the betting lines imply, the projected score is Ohio Bobcats 24, Miami (OH) RedHawks 23. That is an average, not a pick.
The Ohio Bobcats have won 7 of their 9 games this season, winning the last six. The Miami (OH) RedHawks have won 5 of their 9 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on November 4, 2025, the Ohio Bobcats won 24-20 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness through the air. The Ohio Bobcats averaged 180.7 passing yards per game this season, the 20th fewest of 138 FBS teams, and the Miami (OH) RedHawks allowed 279.7 passing yards per game, the 5th most.
- Moneyline: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Ohio Bobcats a 51.9% chance to beat Miami (OH) RedHawks. AiQ's moneyline pick is the side the consensus favors. The price on record, -118, is priced below the fair price of -108 (−4.1% value).
- Total: The betting market, with the margin removed, puts the over 46.5 points at 50.8% and the under at 49.2%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the total. AiQ's projected total, 47.5 points, comes from the same market prices, so it adds nothing to them.
- Spread: The betting market, with the margin removed, gives Ohio Bobcats -1.5 a 49.9% chance to cover and Miami (OH) RedHawks +1.5 50.1%. That is near a coin flip, and AiQ's read is the market's own, so AiQ has no edge on the spread.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. The Miami (OH) RedHawks went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.