NCAAF Slate Analysis — Friday, September 25, 2026
Friday, September 25, 2026 · NCAAF
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NCAAF recaps.
The NCAAF slate for Friday, September 25, 2026 has 5 games, the first at 3:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 5. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every game
Army Black Knights at Temple Owls
3:00 PM CT at Lincoln Financial Field.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Army Black Knights a 64% confidence rating to beat Temple Owls, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 63.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 63.9%. The best price, -180 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -177 (−0.5% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the over 48.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.7%. The best price, -110 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−2.0% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Army Black Knights -3.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.2%. The best price, -114 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -101 (−5.5% value).
Howard Bison at Rutgers Scarlet Knights
6:00 PM CT at SHI Stadium.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Rutgers Scarlet Knights a 54% confidence rating to beat Howard Bison, its own model's number rather than a market price. No odds are on record for this game, so there is no price to value.
- Total: AiQ gives the under 57.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.7%. The best price, -110 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -108 (−1.1% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Rutgers Scarlet Knights -41.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.2%. The best price, -112 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -101 (−4.9% value).
Navy Midshipmen at UAB Blazers
6:00 PM CT at Protective Stadium.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Navy Midshipmen a 64% confidence rating to beat UAB Blazers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 69.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 69.7%. The best price, -235 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -229 (−0.7% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the over 50.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 52.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.2%. The best price, -112 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -109 (−1.1% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Navy Midshipmen -6.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +104 (−5.8% value).
Northwestern Wildcats at Indiana Hoosiers
7:00 PM CT at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN).
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Indiana Hoosiers a 94% confidence rating to beat Northwestern Wildcats, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 93.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 93.4%. The best price, -1500 at Fanatics, is priced near the fair price of -1422 (−0.4% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the over 49.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.3%. The best price, -110 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−2.4% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Indiana Hoosiers -20.5 a 64% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -106 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +107 (−6.1% value).
Clemson Tigers at California Golden Bears
9:30 PM CT at California Memorial Stadium.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Clemson Tigers a 60% confidence rating to beat California Golden Bears, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 56.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 56.7%. The best price, -137 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -131 (−1.8% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 52.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.5%. The best price, -110 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−2.4% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives California Golden Bears +2.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.2%. The best price, -105 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +108 (−6.3% value).