NBA Slate Analysis — Sunday, November 8, 2026
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · NBA
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NBA recaps.
The NBA slate for Sunday, November 8, 2026 has 7 games, the first at 2:30 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 7. Of AiQ's picks on this slate, 4 have a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Best value
- Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls: Philadelphia 76ers on the moneyline (-375 at FanDuel, +2.0% value).
- Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings: Miami Heat on the moneyline (-480 at Caesars, +1.4% value).
- Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks: Boston Celtics on the moneyline (-750 at FanDuel, +1.2% value).
- Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves: Minnesota Timberwolves on the moneyline (-625 at BetRivers, +0.6% value).
Every game
Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls
2:30 PM CT at United Center.
The Chicago Bulls have won 1 of their 8 games this season, losing the last six. The Philadelphia 76ers have won 8 of their 10 games this season, winning four of the last five. The Chicago Bulls come in with more rest: their last game was on November 4, four days before this one, while the Philadelphia 76ers played two days before. When these teams last met, on November 2, 2026, the Philadelphia 76ers won 126-107 at home. This is their second meeting this season.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Philadelphia 76ers averaged 109.4 points per game this season, the 8th fewest in the NBA, and the Chicago Bulls allowed 129.6 points per game, the most.
- An uphill climb from three. The Chicago Bulls made 27.2% of their three-point attempts this season, the lowest in the NBA, and the Philadelphia 76ers allowed opponents to make 32.1% of their three-point attempts, the 5th lowest.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Philadelphia 76ers a 62% confidence rating to beat Chicago Bulls, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is an 80.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 79.4%. The best price, -375 at FanDuel, is +2.0% value against the fair price of -414.
- Total: AiQ gives the under 238.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -105 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−0.8% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 a 60% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.8%. The price on record, -105, is priced below the fair price of +112 (−7.7% value).
Trends in play.
Everything points under on the total. The Philadelphia 76ers went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games. Of the last 4 meetings between the Chicago Bulls and the Philadelphia 76ers, 3 went under the total.
Recent results against the spread back the Philadelphia 76ers. The Chicago Bulls failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games (1 push).
Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons
5:00 PM CT at Little Caesars Arena.
The Los Angeles Lakers have won 8 of their 10 games this season, winning the last four. The Detroit Pistons have won 6 of their 8 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Detroit Pistons come in with more rest: their last game was on November 4, four days before this one, while the Los Angeles Lakers played two days before. When these teams last met, on March 23, 2026, the Detroit Pistons won 113-110 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- Strength against strength in scoring. The Los Angeles Lakers averaged 122.0 points per game this season, the most in the NBA, and the Detroit Pistons allowed 101.8 points per game, the fewest.
- Mismatch from three. The Detroit Pistons made 37.8% of their three-point attempts this season, tied for the 4th highest in the NBA, and the Los Angeles Lakers allowed opponents to make 37.3% of their three-point attempts, the 7th highest.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Detroit Pistons a 62% confidence rating to beat Los Angeles Lakers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 71.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 70.9%. The best price, -255 at FanDuel, is priced near the fair price of -251 (−0.4% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 217.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−2.4% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Los Angeles Lakers +7.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of +105 (−6.7% value).
Trends in play.
Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Los Angeles Lakers covered the spread in 4 straight games. Meanwhile, the Detroit Pistons covered the spread in 5 of 6 games as favorites this season.
Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves
6:00 PM CT at Target Center.
Two teams heading in opposite directions meet here. The Utah Jazz have won 1 of their 9 games this season, losing the last seven. The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 7 of their 10 games this season, winning the last three. When these teams last met, on March 18, 2026, the Minnesota Timberwolves won 147-111 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- An uphill climb in scoring. The Utah Jazz averaged 106.9 points per game this season, the 2nd fewest in the NBA, and the Minnesota Timberwolves allowed 107.7 points per game, the 7th fewest.
- Mismatch in scoring. The Minnesota Timberwolves averaged 118.4 points per game this season, tied for the 6th most in the NBA, and the Utah Jazz allowed 118.2 points per game, the 7th most.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Minnesota Timberwolves a 66% confidence rating to beat Utah Jazz, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is an 86.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 85.4%. The best price, -625 at BetRivers, is +0.6% value against the fair price of -651.
- Total: AiQ gives the over 221.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.5%. The price on record, -112, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−3.0% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Minnesota Timberwolves -12.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.6%. The best price, -103 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of +111 (−6.8% value).
Trends in play.
Against the spread, the records lean toward the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves covered the spread in 9 of their last 10 games. The Utah Jazz failed to cover the spread in 9 of their last 10 games.
The total pulls both ways. The Utah Jazz went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, of the last 4 meetings between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Utah Jazz, 3 went over the total.
Brooklyn Nets at Dallas Mavericks
6:30 PM CT at American Airlines Center.
The Brooklyn Nets have won 2 of their 9 games this season, winning two of the last five. The Dallas Mavericks have won 5 of their 9 games this season, winning three of the last five. When these teams last met, on February 24, 2026, the Dallas Mavericks won 123-114 on the road.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Dallas Mavericks a 66% confidence rating to beat Brooklyn Nets, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 74.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 73.8%. The best price, -295 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -289 (−0.5% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the over 223.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -105 (−1.4% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Dallas Mavericks -7.5 a 60% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -107 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of +106 (−6.0% value).
Trends in play.
Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Brooklyn Nets covered the spread in 5 of 5 road games this season. Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks covered the spread in each of the last 3 meetings with the Brooklyn Nets. The Dallas Mavericks covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
Recent totals lean under. The Dallas Mavericks went under the total in 4 of 5 home games this season.
Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks
7:00 PM CT at Fiserv Forum.
The Milwaukee Bucks have won 1 of their 9 games this season, losing the last five. The Boston Celtics have won 7 of their 9 games this season, winning four of the last five. When these teams last met, on November 4, 2026, the Boston Celtics won 109-102 at home. This is their second meeting this season.
Matchups to watch.
- An uphill climb in shooting. The Milwaukee Bucks made 43.4% of their shots this season, tied for the 5th lowest in the NBA, and the Boston Celtics allowed opponents to make 42.1% of their shots, the 3rd lowest.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Boston Celtics a 62% confidence rating to beat Milwaukee Bucks, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is an 89.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 87.6%. The best price, -750 at FanDuel, is +1.2% value against the fair price of -835.
- Total: AiQ gives the over 221.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -107 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−1.9% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Boston Celtics -13.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -105 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +105 (−4.8% value).
Trends in play.
Everything points under on the total. The last 4 games involving the Boston Celtics went under the total. Of the last 5 meetings between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics, 4 went under the total.
Recent results against the spread back the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks failed to cover the spread in 4 of 5 home games this season.
New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers
8:00 PM CT at Intuit Dome.
The LA Clippers have won 1 of their 8 games this season, losing the last seven. The New Orleans Pelicans have won 4 of their 9 games this season, winning four of the last five. The LA Clippers come in with more rest: their last game was on November 4, four days before this one, while the New Orleans Pelicans played two days before. When these teams last met, on March 19, 2026, the New Orleans Pelicans won 105-99 at home.
Matchups to watch.
- Mismatch in shooting. The New Orleans Pelicans made 48.4% of their shots this season, the 3rd highest in the NBA, and the LA Clippers allowed opponents to make 48.8% of their shots, tied for the 3rd highest.
- Strength against strength from three. The LA Clippers made 38.2% of their three-point attempts this season, the 2nd highest in the NBA, and the New Orleans Pelicans allowed opponents to make 31.3% of their three-point attempts, the 2nd lowest.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives New Orleans Pelicans a 62% confidence rating to beat LA Clippers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 52.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 52.8%. The price on record, -121, is priced below the fair price of -109 (−4.7% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the over 226.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
- Spread: AiQ gives New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 a 60% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the spread back the New Orleans Pelicans. The New Orleans Pelicans covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the LA Clippers.
Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings
8:00 PM CT at Golden 1 Center.
The Miami Heat have won 3 of their 9 games this season, winning three of the last five. The Sacramento Kings have won 1 of their 9 games this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on January 20, 2026, the Miami Heat won 130-117 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness from three. The Miami Heat made 33.1% of their three-point attempts this season, tied for the 8th lowest in the NBA, and the Sacramento Kings allowed opponents to make 37.4% of their three-point attempts, the 6th highest.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. The Sacramento Kings averaged 109.2 points per game this season, the 7th fewest in the NBA, and the Miami Heat allowed 122.6 points per game, the 3rd most.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Miami Heat a 61% confidence rating to beat Sacramento Kings, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is an 84.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 82.5%. The best price, -480 at Caesars, is +1.4% value against the fair price of -523.
- Total: AiQ gives the under 236.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -105 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−1.0% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Miami Heat -11.5 a 64% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 46.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.8%. The price on record, -105, is priced below the fair price of +114 (−8.8% value).
Trends in play.
Recent results against the spread back the Sacramento Kings, the underdog here. The Miami Heat failed to cover the spread in 4 of 5 road games this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.