NBA Slate Analysis — Saturday, October 31, 2026

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · NBA

These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NBA recaps.

The NBA slate for Saturday, October 31, 2026 has 7 games, the first at 2:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 7. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.

Every game

Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz

2:00 PM CT at Delta Center.

The Utah Jazz have won 1 of their 5 games this season, losing the last three. The Portland Trail Blazers have won 3 of their 4 games this season. When these teams last met, on March 13, 2026, the Portland Trail Blazers won 124-114 at home.

• Moneyline: AiQ gives Portland Trail Blazers a 62% confidence rating to beat Utah Jazz, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 69.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 70.3%. The price on record, -258, is priced below the fair price of -232 (−3.0% value).
• Total: AiQ gives the under 232.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.8%. The best price, -108 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -102 (−2.8% value).
• Spread: AiQ gives Portland Trail Blazers -6.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.0%. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of +102 (−7.4% value).

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. Each of the last 4 meetings between the Utah Jazz and the Portland Trail Blazers went over the total.

Recent results against the spread back the Portland Trail Blazers. The Utah Jazz failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.

Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets

5:00 PM CT at Spectrum Center.

The Philadelphia 76ers have won 5 of their 6 games this season. The Charlotte Hornets have won 3 of their 6 games this season. When these teams last met, on March 28, 2026, the Philadelphia 76ers won 118-114 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb in scoring. The Philadelphia 76ers averaged 108.7 points per game this season, the 5th fewest in the NBA, and the Charlotte Hornets allowed 106.0 points per game, the 4th fewest.
• An uphill climb in scoring. The Charlotte Hornets averaged 97.3 points per game this season, the fewest in the NBA, and the Philadelphia 76ers allowed 105.0 points per game, the 3rd fewest.

• Moneyline: AiQ gives Charlotte Hornets a 62% confidence rating to beat Philadelphia 76ers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.8%. The price on record, -105, is priced below the fair price of +102 (−3.2% value).
• Total: AiQ gives the under 210.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
• Spread: AiQ gives Charlotte Hornets +1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.

Trends in play.

Everything points under on the total. The Charlotte Hornets went under the total in 9 of their last 10 games. The Philadelphia 76ers went under the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Recent results against the spread back the Philadelphia 76ers. The Charlotte Hornets failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 10 games.

Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans

6:00 PM CT at Smoothie King Center.

The Atlanta Hawks have won 3 of their 6 games this season. The New Orleans Pelicans have won 1 of their 5 games this season. When these teams last met, on January 7, 2026, the Atlanta Hawks won 117-100 at home.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch in scoring. The Atlanta Hawks averaged 119.0 points per game this season, the 6th most in the NBA, and the New Orleans Pelicans allowed 121.6 points per game, the 5th most.
• An uphill climb from three. The New Orleans Pelicans made 30.1% of their three-point attempts this season, the 4th lowest in the NBA, and the Atlanta Hawks allowed opponents to make 31.3% of their three-point attempts, the 6th lowest.

• Moneyline: AiQ gives Atlanta Hawks a 62% confidence rating to beat New Orleans Pelicans, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 63.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 63.0%. The best price, -178 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -170 (−1.6% value).
• Total: AiQ gives the over 240.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.3%. The best price, -110 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of -104 (−2.6% value).
• Spread: AiQ gives Atlanta Hawks -4.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at FanDuel, is priced below the fair price of +107 (−7.1% value).

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Atlanta Hawks went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies

7:00 PM CT at FedExForum.

Two teams heading in opposite directions meet here. The Sacramento Kings have lost six straight, a run that goes back to last season, and all five of their games this season. The Memphis Grizzlies have won all five of their games this season. When these teams last met, on October 25, 2026, the Memphis Grizzlies won 123-112 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb from three. The Sacramento Kings made 30.5% of their three-point attempts this season, the 5th lowest in the NBA, and the Memphis Grizzlies allowed opponents to make 30.3% of their three-point attempts, the 4th lowest.
• Mismatch from three. The Memphis Grizzlies made 39.9% of their three-point attempts this season, the highest in the NBA, and the Sacramento Kings allowed opponents to make 36.8% of their three-point attempts, the 8th highest.

• Moneyline: AiQ gives Memphis Grizzlies a 67% confidence rating to beat Sacramento Kings, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 76.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 76.7%. The best price, -350 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -320 (−2.1% value).
• Total: AiQ gives the over 229.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 52.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.2%. The price on record, -115, is priced below the fair price of -109 (−2.3% value).
• Spread: AiQ gives Memphis Grizzlies -8.5 a 60% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of +109 (−7.9% value).

Trends in play.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Memphis Grizzlies. The Memphis Grizzlies covered the spread in 5 straight games. The Memphis Grizzlies covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings with the Sacramento Kings. The Sacramento Kings failed to cover the spread in 4 of 5 games as underdogs this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks

7:00 PM CT at Fiserv Forum.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have won 3 of their 5 games this season. The Milwaukee Bucks have won 1 of their 5 games this season. When these teams last met, on March 17, 2026, the Cleveland Cavaliers won 123-116 on the road.

• Moneyline: AiQ gives Cleveland Cavaliers a 61% confidence rating to beat Milwaukee Bucks, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 76.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 77.7%. The best price, -355 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -330 (−1.6% value).
• Total: AiQ gives the under 235.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−2.2% value).
• Spread: AiQ gives Cleveland Cavaliers -9.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.5%. The best price, -105 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of +110 (−6.9% value).

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The Milwaukee Bucks went over the total in 8 of their last 10 games.

Against the spread, the records lean toward the Milwaukee Bucks. The Cleveland Cavaliers failed to cover the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. The Milwaukee Bucks covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs

7:00 PM CT at Frost Bank Center.

The San Antonio Spurs have won 3 of their 5 games this season, winning the last three. The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 4 of their 6 games this season. The San Antonio Spurs come in with more rest: their last game was on October 28, three days before this one, while the Minnesota Timberwolves played the day before. When these teams last met, on May 15, 2026, the San Antonio Spurs won 139-109 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• Mismatch from three. The Minnesota Timberwolves made 39.2% of their three-point attempts this season, tied for the 2nd highest in the NBA, and the San Antonio Spurs allowed opponents to make 39.4% of their three-point attempts, the 3rd highest.

• Moneyline: AiQ gives San Antonio Spurs a 62% confidence rating to beat Minnesota Timberwolves, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is an 83.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 84.4%. The best price, -550 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of -493 (−1.7% value).
• Total: AiQ gives the under 228.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.9%. The best price, -114 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -107 (−3.1% value).
• Spread: AiQ gives Minnesota Timberwolves +12.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.8%. The best price, -110 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of +103 (−6.0% value).

Trends in play.

The total pulls both ways. Of the last 9 meetings between the San Antonio Spurs and the Minnesota Timberwolves, 7 went over the total. Meanwhile, the San Antonio Spurs went under the total in 8 of their last 10 games. The Minnesota Timberwolves went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets

7:30 PM CT at Toyota Center (Houston).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 4 of their 5 games this season. The Houston Rockets have won 5 of their 6 games this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder come in with more rest: their last game was on October 28, three days before this one, while the Houston Rockets played the day before. When these teams last met, on February 7, 2026, the Houston Rockets won 112-106 on the road.

Matchups to watch.

• An uphill climb from three. The Oklahoma City Thunder made 30.9% of their three-point attempts this season, the 6th lowest in the NBA, and the Houston Rockets allowed opponents to make 30.0% of their three-point attempts, the 3rd lowest.
• Strength against strength in scoring. The Houston Rockets averaged 121.0 points per game this season, the 3rd most in the NBA, and the Oklahoma City Thunder allowed 104.6 points per game, the 2nd fewest.

• Moneyline: AiQ gives Houston Rockets a 62% confidence rating to beat Oklahoma City Thunder, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 57.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 56.7%. The price on record, -142, is priced below the fair price of -133 (−2.8% value).
• Total: AiQ gives the under 219.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of -103 (−3.2% value).
• Spread: AiQ gives Houston Rockets -2.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.3%. The best price, -110 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of +106 (−7.5% value).

Trends in play.

Recent totals lean over. The last 4 games involving the Houston Rockets went over the total.

Recent results against the spread back the Houston Rockets. The Houston Rockets covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.

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