NBA Slate Analysis — Sunday, October 25, 2026
Sunday, October 25, 2026 · NBA
These games have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each game started. See how they finished in the NBA recaps.
The NBA slate for Sunday, October 25, 2026 has 7 games, the first at 4:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on all 7. Of AiQ's picks on this slate, 3 have a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Best value
- Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers: Under 227.5 points (-105, +1.3% value).
- Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings: Over 234.5 points (-112 at DraftKings, +1.0% value).
- Orlando Magic at New York Knicks: Under 224.5 points (-110, +0.7% value).
Every game
Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz
4:00 PM CT at Delta Center.
The Los Angeles Lakers have won both of their games this season. The Utah Jazz have won 1 of their 2 games this season. When these teams last met, on April 12, 2026, the Los Angeles Lakers won 131-107 at home.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Los Angeles Lakers a 62% confidence rating to beat Utah Jazz, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 69.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 69.7%. The best price, -225 at FanDuel, is priced near the fair price of -225 (+0.0% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 236.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of -108 (−1.0% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Utah Jazz +6.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is priced below the fair price of +108 (−8.3% value).
Trends in play.
Recent results against the spread back the Los Angeles Lakers. The Utah Jazz failed to cover the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets
5:00 PM CT at Barclays Center.
The Brooklyn Nets have lost five straight, a run that goes back to last season, and both of their games this season. The Indiana Pacers have won 1 of their 2 games this season. When these teams last met, on April 9, 2026, the Indiana Pacers won 123-94 on the road.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Indiana Pacers a 62% confidence rating to beat Brooklyn Nets, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 68.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 68.7%. The best price, -220 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -215 (−0.8% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the over 231.5 points a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The best price, -108 at BetRivers, is priced near the fair price of -108 (−0.2% value).
- Spread: AiQ gives Indiana Pacers -6.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.0% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.2%. The best price, -105 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of +113 (−8.2% value).
Orlando Magic at New York Knicks
6:00 PM CT at Madison Square Garden.
The Orlando Magic have lost five straight, a run that goes back to last season's playoffs, and both of their games this season. The New York Knicks have lost both of their games this season. When these teams last met, on December 13, 2025, the New York Knicks won 132-120 at a neutral site.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives New York Knicks a 62% confidence rating to beat Orlando Magic, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 71.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 72.3%. The best price, -275 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of -253 (−2.2% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 224.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 52.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.0%. The price on record, -110, is +0.7% value against the fair price of -112.
- Spread: AiQ gives New York Knicks -7.5 a 60% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.5%. The best price, -105 at DraftKings, is priced below the fair price of +112 (−7.8% value).
Trends in play.
The total pulls both ways. The last 4 games involving the New York Knicks went under the total. Meanwhile, of the last 4 meetings between the New York Knicks and the Orlando Magic, 3 went over the total.
Recent results against the spread back the New York Knicks. The Orlando Magic failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games.
Toronto Raptors at Minnesota Timberwolves
6:00 PM CT at Target Center.
Both teams have won both of their games this season. When these teams last met, on March 5, 2026, the Minnesota Timberwolves won 115-107 at home.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Toronto Raptors a 59% confidence rating to beat Minnesota Timberwolves, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 49.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.8%. The price on record, -105, is priced below the fair price of +102 (−3.4% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 228.5 points a 57% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
- Spread: AiQ gives Toronto Raptors +1.5 a 58% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
Trends in play.
Recent results against the spread back the Toronto Raptors, the underdog here. The Toronto Raptors covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games.
LA Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder
6:00 PM CT at Paycom Center.
The LA Clippers have won 1 of their 2 games this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have won both of their games this season. When these teams last met, on April 8, 2026, the Oklahoma City Thunder won 128-110 on the road.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Oklahoma City Thunder a 94% confidence rating to beat LA Clippers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 92.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 92.6%. The price on record, -1450, is priced below the fair price of -1264 (−0.9% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 224.5 points a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
- Spread: AiQ gives LA Clippers +16.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. No book price at this line is confirmed on the record, so no value figure is given.
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. Each of the last 3 meetings between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the LA Clippers went over the total.
Recent results against the spread back the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Oklahoma City Thunder covered the spread in each of the last 3 meetings with the LA Clippers.
Detroit Pistons at Philadelphia 76ers
6:30 PM CT at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
The Philadelphia 76ers have won all three of their games this season. The Detroit Pistons have won both of their games this season. When these teams last met, on April 4, 2026, the Detroit Pistons won 116-93 on the road.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Detroit Pistons a 62% confidence rating to beat Philadelphia 76ers, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 53.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 52.8%. The best price, -115 at BetMGM, is priced near the fair price of -114 (−0.2% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the under 227.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.8%. The price on record, -105, is +1.3% value against the fair price of -108.
- Spread: AiQ gives Detroit Pistons -1.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.8%. The best price, -102 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of +109 (−5.5% value).
Trends in play.
The total pulls both ways. The Detroit Pistons went over the total in 7 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, of the last 4 meetings between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Detroit Pistons, 3 went under the total.
Recent results against the spread back the Detroit Pistons. The Detroit Pistons covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Philadelphia 76ers.
Memphis Grizzlies at Sacramento Kings
8:00 PM CT at Golden 1 Center.
The Sacramento Kings have lost three straight, a run that goes back to last season, and both of their games this season. The Memphis Grizzlies have won both of their games this season. When these teams last met, on February 23, 2026, the Sacramento Kings won 123-114 on the road.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Memphis Grizzlies a 62% confidence rating to beat Sacramento Kings, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 60.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 59.9%. The best price, -157 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -150 (−1.7% value).
- Total: AiQ gives the over 234.5 points a 62% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 53.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 50.8%. The best price, -112 at DraftKings, is +1.0% value against the fair price of -115.
- Spread: AiQ gives Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 a 59% confidence rating to cover, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 47.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 49.8%. The best price, -105 at Caesars, is priced below the fair price of +109 (−6.8% value).
Trends in play.
Against the spread, the records pull in opposite directions. The Sacramento Kings covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Memphis Grizzlies covered the spread in 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Sacramento Kings.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.