MLS Slate Analysis — Sunday, October 25, 2026
Sunday, October 25, 2026 · MLS
These matches have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each match started. See how they finished in the MLS recaps.
The MLS slate for Sunday, October 25, 2026 has 1 match, at 8:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every match
LA Galaxy vs Los Angeles FC
8:00 PM CT at BMO Stadium.
LA Galaxy have won 10, drawn 10 and lost 11 of their 31 matches this season, winning three of the last five. Los Angeles FC have won 12, drawn 10 and lost 9 of their 31 matches this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on July 17, 2026, Los Angeles FC won 3-0 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives LAFC a 57% confidence rating to beat LA Galaxy, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 62.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 62.4%. The best price, -180 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -165 (−3.1% value).
- Total goals: AiQ gives the under 3.5 goals a 55% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 54.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 53.9%. The best price, -125 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -118 (−2.4% value).
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean under. LA Galaxy went under the total in 7 of their last 10 matches.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.