MLS Slate Analysis — Wednesday, October 21, 2026
Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · MLS
These matches have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each match started. See how they finished in the MLS recaps.
The MLS slate for Wednesday, October 21, 2026 has 1 match, at 6:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. Of AiQ's picks on this slate, 2 have a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Best value
- D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati: Draw on the moneyline (+375 at Fanatics, +3.1% value).
- D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati: Under 3.5 goals (+112 at BetRivers, +2.6% value).
Every match
D.C. United vs FC Cincinnati
6:00 PM CT at TQL Stadium.
D.C. United have won 7, drawn 12 and lost 10 of their 29 matches this season, winning one of the last five. FC Cincinnati have won 9, drawn 9 and lost 11 of their 29 matches this season, winning one of the last five.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives a draw between D.C. United and FC Cincinnati a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 21.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 19.5%. The best price, +375 at Fanatics, is +3.1% value against the fair price of +361.
- Total goals: AiQ gives the under 3.5 goals a 54% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.4% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 46.0%. The best price, +112 at BetRivers, is +2.6% value against the fair price of +107.