MLS Slate Analysis — Sunday, October 18, 2026
Sunday, October 18, 2026 · MLS
These matches have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each match started. See how they finished in the MLS recaps.
The MLS slate for Sunday, October 18, 2026 has 1 match, at 4:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. Of AiQ's picks on this slate, 1 has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Best value
- Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati: Draw on the moneyline (+310 at Fanatics, +5.9% value).
Every match
Columbus Crew vs FC Cincinnati
4:00 PM CT at TQL Stadium.
Columbus Crew have won 9, drawn 5 and lost 15 of their 29 matches this season, winning three of the last five. FC Cincinnati have won 9, drawn 9 and lost 10 of their 28 matches this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on July 25, 2026, Columbus Crew won 2-1 at home. This is their second meeting this season.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives a draw between Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 25.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 23.4%. The best price, +310 at Fanatics, is +5.9% value against the fair price of +287.
- Total goals: AiQ gives the under 3.5 goals a 53% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 48.9% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.9%. The best price, -112 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of +104 (−7.4% value).
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. Columbus Crew went over the total in 11 of 13 road matches this season.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.