La Liga Slate Analysis — Friday, October 16, 2026
Friday, October 16, 2026 · La Liga
These matches have been played. Picks and prices, where shown, are AiQ's from before each match started. See how they finished in the La Liga recaps.
The La Liga slate for Friday, October 16, 2026 has 1 match, at 2:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every match
Levante vs Deportivo La Coruña
2:00 PM CT at Riazor.
Levante have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their 7 matches this season. Deportivo La Coruña have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their 8 matches this season, winning one of the last five.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives a draw between Levante and Deportivo La Coruña a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 28.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 27.2%. The best price, +250 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of +253 (−1.0% value).
- Total goals: AiQ gives the under 2.5 goals a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 50.6% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 48.4%. The best price, -108 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -102 (−2.5% value).
Trends in play.
Recent totals lean over. Levante went over the total in 7 of their last 10 matches.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.