EPL Slate Analysis — Monday, November 2, 2026
Monday, November 2, 2026 · Premier League
The EPL slate for Monday, November 2, 2026 has 1 match, at 2:00 PM CT. AiQ has a moneyline pick on it. None of AiQ's picks on this slate has a price on record above fair value. Each price is the one AiQ valued the pick at when it last priced the game.
Every match
Everton vs Newcastle United
2:00 PM CT at St. James' Park.
Everton have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their 8 matches this season, winning one of the last five. Newcastle United have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 8 matches this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on February 28, 2026, Everton won 3-2 on the road.
Matchups to watch.
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. Everton averaged 1.00 goals per match this season, tied for the 3rd fewest in the Premier League, and Newcastle United conceded 1.75 goals per match, the 5th most.
- Moneyline: AiQ gives Newcastle United a 58% confidence rating to beat Everton, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 42.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 42.0%. The price on record, +130, is priced below the fair price of +135 (−2.3% value).
- Total goals: AiQ gives the under 2.5 goals a 58% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 44.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 43.6%. The price on record, +110, is priced below the fair price of +126 (−7.0% value).