Portland Timbers vs Austin FC Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET · Q2 Stadium · MLS

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Portland Timbers at Austin FC is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Q2 Stadium.

The story

Portland Timbers have won 12, drawn 7 and lost 14 of their 33 matches this season, winning the last three. Austin FC have won 8, drawn 10 and lost 15 of their 33 matches this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on August 29, 2026, Austin FC won 2-1 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch

• Weakness against weakness in shots. Austin FC averaged 11.0 shots per match this season, the 2nd fewest in Major League Soccer, and Portland Timbers faced 14.7 shots per match, the 6th most.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Portland Timbers a 57% confidence rating to beat Austin FC, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 58.1% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 58.1%. The best price, -145 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of -139 (−1.8% value).

Total goals

AiQ gives the under 3.5 goals a 54% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 53.2% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 53.1%. The best price, -122 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -114 (−3.2% value).

Trends in play

Everything points under on the total. Austin FC went under the total in 7 of their last 10 matches. Portland Timbers went under the total in 7 of their last 10 matches.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.