Philadelphia Union defeat Toronto FC 4-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Nov 7, 2026 · MLS · Toronto FC 1, Philadelphia Union 4

Philadelphia Union beat Toronto FC 4-1 on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Subaru Park. The match went over the pregame total of 3.5, with 5 goals combined. AiQ went 2-0 on its moneyline and total picks in this match.

Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union final score and match recap

Philadelphia Union led 2-1 at halftime. They outscored Toronto FC 2-0 in the second half.

The leading performers, from the box score:

Did Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union go over or under the goals total?

The match went over: 5 goals combined against a pregame total of 3.5, over by 1.5. No closing total is on file, so this is the line AiQ priced before the start. 3 of the 5 goals came in the first half.

AiQ's pick was the over 3.5: a win.

How did AiQ's Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union predictions do?

AiQ went 2-0 on its moneyline and total picks in this match.

AiQ was right on the moneyline and the total.

Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet

AiQ does not pick game props. This is how the sportsbook markets settled.

Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union odds: sportsbook value and line movement

Shortly before kickoff, the consensus three-way moneyline had Toronto FC at +767, the draw at +531 and Philadelphia Union at -402. With the bookmaker's margin removed, that made it Toronto FC 11%, the draw 15% and Philadelphia Union 75%. Philadelphia Union won as the favorite at -402: $24.88 profit on a $100 bet. On AiQ's moneyline pick, Philadelphia Union, the best price before the match was -220 at BetMGM: priced near fair (−0.3% value).

This result left Toronto FC with 9 wins, 12 draws and 13 losses in the 2026 season. Their matches went over the closing total 15 times and under 11 times. That made it two straight defeats for Toronto FC.

This result left Philadelphia Union with 14 wins, 8 draws and 12 losses in the 2026 season. Their matches went over the closing total 17 times and under 9 times.