Atlanta United FC vs Red Bull New York Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7
Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET · Sports Illustrated Stadium · MLS
Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.
Atlanta United FC at Red Bull New York is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
The story
Atlanta United FC have won 9, drawn 6 and lost 18 of their 33 matches this season, winning two of the last five. Red Bull New York have won 11, drawn 6 and lost 16 of their 33 matches this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on August 15, 2026, Atlanta United FC won 2-1 at home. This is their second meeting this season.
Matchups to watch
- Weakness against weakness in scoring. Atlanta United FC averaged 1.30 goals per match this season, tied for the 6th fewest in Major League Soccer, and Red Bull New York conceded 1.88 goals per match, tied for the 7th most.
- Strength against strength in shots. Red Bull New York averaged 14.3 shots per match this season, the 8th most in Major League Soccer, and Atlanta United FC faced 12.1 shots per match, the 7th fewest.
Moneyline
AiQ gives a draw between Atlanta United FC and Red Bull New York a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 21.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 21.7%. The price on record, +310, is priced below the fair price of +358 (−10.5% value).
Total goals
AiQ gives the under 3.5 goals a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 51.5% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 51.1%. The best price, -112 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of -106 (−2.5% value).
Trends in play
Recent totals lean under. Red Bull New York went under the total in 8 of their last 10 matches.
These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.