New York City FC vs D.C. United Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET · Audi Field · MLS

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

New York City FC at D.C. United is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at Audi Field.

The story

D.C. United have won 7, drawn 12 and lost 14 of their 33 matches this season, losing the last five. New York City FC have won 9, drawn 12 and lost 12 of their 33 matches this season, winning one of the last five. When these teams last met, on May 3, 2026, D.C. United won 2-0 on the road. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch

• Weakness against weakness in shots. New York City FC averaged 11.8 shots per match this season, the 4th fewest in Major League Soccer, and D.C. United faced 14.2 shots per match, the 7th most.
• An uphill climb in scoring. D.C. United averaged 1.18 goals per match this season, tied for the 2nd fewest in Major League Soccer, and New York City FC conceded 1.36 goals per match, tied for the 5th fewest.

Moneyline

AiQ gives New York City FC a 56% confidence rating to beat D.C. United, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 42.8% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 42.7%. The best price, +130 at Fanatics, is priced below the fair price of +134 (−1.5% value).

Total goals

AiQ gives the under 2.5 goals a 54% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 42.7% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 41.6%. The best price, +128 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of +134 (−2.6% value).

Trends in play

Recent totals lean under. New York City FC went under the total in 9 of 12 road matches this season.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.