Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire FC Prediction, Picks & Odds — Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET · SeatGeek Stadium · MLS

Open the game card for live odds, every market and the full prediction.

Columbus Crew at Chicago Fire FC is on Saturday, November 7, 2026, at SeatGeek Stadium.

The story

Columbus Crew have won 13, drawn 5 and lost 15 of their 33 matches this season, winning the last five. Chicago Fire FC have won 16, drawn 7 and lost 10 of their 33 matches this season, winning two of the last five. When these teams last met, on March 7, 2026, they drew 0-0. This is their second meeting this season.

Matchups to watch

• Strength against strength in shots. Chicago Fire FC averaged 14.5 shots per match this season, the 6th most in Major League Soccer, and Columbus Crew faced 11.6 shots per match, tied for the 4th fewest.

Moneyline

AiQ gives Columbus Crew a 57% confidence rating to beat Chicago Fire FC, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 29.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 29.1%. The best price, +230 at BetRivers, is priced below the fair price of +242 (−3.5% value).

Total goals

AiQ gives the over 3.5 goals a 56% confidence rating, its own model's number rather than a market price. Calibrated against the market and graded results, that is a 45.3% chance; the betting market, with the margin removed, has 44.3%. The best price, +110 at BetMGM, is priced below the fair price of +121 (−4.8% value).

Trends in play

The total pulls both ways. Columbus Crew went over the total in 11 of 13 road matches this season. Meanwhile, Chicago Fire FC went under the total in 7 of their last 10 matches.

These come from the closing lines of this season and last. They are context, not the reason for AiQ's picks, and the books price them in.