Orlando City SC defeat D.C. United 4-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · MLS · D.C. United 1, Orlando City SC 4

Orlando City SC defeated D.C. United 4-1 on Saturday, October 17 at Inter&Co Stadium. The match went over the 3.5-goal total, finishing with five goals. AiQ won the moneyline pick on Orlando City SC at -157 but lost the under.

D.C. United vs. Orlando City SC final score and match recap

Orlando City SC erased an early deficit to win 4-1. D.C. United scored first in the opening half, but Orlando answered with two goals before halftime to lead 2-1. The second half saw Orlando add two more while D.C. United could not equalize.

Antoine Griezmann led Orlando's attack with two goals and an assist. Martín Ojeda contributed a goal and an assist. Tai Baribo scored D.C. United's lone goal.

Did D.C. United vs. Orlando City SC go over or under the goals total?

The match produced five goals, surpassing the 3.5 total by 1.5. The first half yielded three goals; the second half added two more. AiQ had selected the under, which resulted in a loss.

How did AiQ's D.C. United vs. Orlando City SC predictions do?

AiQ finished 1-1 across the graded picks.

The model correctly identified Orlando City SC as the winner but misjudged the goal total.

D.C. United vs. Orlando City SC game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score

D.C. United vs. Orlando City SC odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The three-way moneyline closed at D.C. United +320, Draw +337, Orlando City SC -157. After vig removal, the implied probabilities were 22% for D.C. United, 57% for Orlando City SC, and 21% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.8%.

Orlando City SC, the favorite at -157, won and returned $63.69 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation placed the market at -1.7% at -150, indicating the price was slightly negative for the model despite backing the favored side. The market's implied win probability of 59% matched AiQ's calibrated estimate.

D.C. United sits at 7-12-10 through 29 matches, with a balanced home record of 5-5-5 and a weaker road slate at 2-7-5. In 25 matches with a recorded closing total, the club saw 13 overs and 12 unders. Their last five results: loss, win, loss, draw, loss.

Orlando City SC holds a 12-5-13 record in 30 matches, dominating at home with a 9-2-4 ledger while posting a 3-3-9 mark away. Of 26 matches with a closing total, 16 went over and 10 under. Their recent five results: win, draw, win, loss, loss.

What's next for D.C. United and Orlando City SC?

D.C. United travels to FC Cincinnati on Wednesday, October 21. Orlando City SC hosts New York City FC on Saturday, October 24.