New England Revolution defeat Chicago Fire FC 1-0: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · MLS · Chicago Fire FC 0, New England Revolution 1
New England Revolution defeated Chicago Fire FC 1–0 on Saturday, October 17 at Gillette Stadium. Matt Polster scored the match's only goal in the first half, assisted by Carles Gil. The result stayed under the 3.5-goal total, and AiQ's moneyline pick on New England at +152 cashed.
Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution final score and match recap
New England Revolution 1, Chicago Fire FC 0. Polster's first-half strike proved decisive; no further goals arrived in the second half. Chicago Fire FC, playing on the road, was shut out across both periods.
Did Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution go over or under the goals total?
The match finished under 3.5 goals, with only 1 goal scored. AiQ's pick of Under 3.5 at 51% confidence won.
How did AiQ's Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution predictions do?
AiQ finished 3–5 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: New England Revolution at +152 – WIN
- Total goals: Under 3.5 – WIN
- Player props: 1–5 – LOSS (net –$330 on $100 per pick)
AiQ correctly identified the winner and the low-scoring outcome but missed all five anytime goalscorer props.
Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution player prop results
AiQ's player-prop slate went 1–5, netting –$330 on $100 per pick.
- Maren Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire FC) over 0.5 shots on target at –210; actual 0 – LOSS
- Maren Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire FC) anytime goal at +235; actual 0 – LOSS
- Anton Saletros (Chicago Fire FC) anytime goal at +900; actual 0 – LOSS
- Joshua Wynder (New England Revolution) anytime goal at +1400; actual 0 – LOSS
- Carles Gil (New England Revolution) anytime goal at +175; actual 0 – LOSS
- Anton Saletros (Chicago Fire FC) over 0.5 shots on target at +170; actual 1 – WIN
Only Saletros's shots-on-target prop cleared its line.
Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet
- Both teams to score: No (paid +190)
- Draw no bet: New England Revolution cashed (paid –110)
Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Chicago Fire FC +150, Draw +265, New England Revolution +152. After removing vig, the market implied 37% win probability for each side and 26% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.1%. New England's +152 victory turned a $100 stake into a $152 profit, marking an upset given the underdog listing. AiQ's pre-game expected value calculation at +135 (the best available price) showed –3.1% EV—a negative-value price despite AiQ's internal estimate matching the market's 41% implied probability.
Chicago Fire FC and New England Revolution betting trends: 2026 season
Chicago Fire FC sit 14–6–10 through 30 matches, with a strong 9–1–5 home record offset by a balanced 5–5–5 away split. In 25 matches with a recorded total, they went 13 overs and 12 unders. Their last five results read loss, loss, win, win, win—a two-game losing streak.
New England Revolution hold 16–4–10 after 30 contests, posting 10–2–3 at home and 6–2–7 away. In 25 total-line games they are 15 overs and 10 unders. Their recent five results are win, win, loss, loss, win, with two consecutive wins.
What's next for Chicago Fire FC and New England Revolution?
Chicago Fire FC travel to Atlanta United FC on Saturday, October 24. New England Revolution visit Philadelphia Union the same day.