Toronto FC defeat Red Bull New York 2-0: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · MLS · Toronto FC 2, Red Bull New York 0
Toronto FC upset Red Bull New York 2–0 on Saturday, October 17 at Sports Illustrated Stadium. The match finished with just two goals, cashing the under 3.5 total. AiQ went 3–2 across all graded picks, winning the total but missing on the moneyline by backing the favored Red Bull New York instead of the underdog Toronto FC.
Toronto FC vs. Red Bull New York final score and match recap
Toronto FC won 2–0 with one goal in each half. Dániel Sallói scored, assisted by Jonathan Osorio, to give Toronto FC a 1–0 lead at halftime. Toronto FC added a second goal in the second half and held on through the final whistle. Red Bull New York never scored.
Did Toronto FC vs. Red Bull New York go over or under the goals total?
The match finished under 3.5 with 2 goals—1.5 under the line. AiQ's under 3.5 pick at 58% confidence won.
How did AiQ's Toronto FC vs. Red Bull New York predictions do?
AiQ posted a 3–2 record across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Red Bull New York at -153 — LOSS (−$100 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Under 3.5 — WIN
- Player props: 2–1 (+$336.96 on $100 per pick at listed prices)
The model correctly identified a low-scoring contest but missed the outright winner.
Toronto FC vs. Red Bull New York player prop results
AiQ's player prop record was 2–1, netting +$336.96.
- Matheus Pereira (Toronto FC) over 0.5 shots on target at +350; actual 1 — WIN
- Matheus Pereira (Toronto FC) to record a goal scorer anytime at +1600; actual 0 — LOSS
- Matheus Pereira (Toronto FC) over 0.5 shots at -115; actual 1 — WIN
Two of three picks hit, both tied to Pereira's shot attempts, while the anytime goal scorer market fell short.
Toronto FC vs. Red Bull New York game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: Toronto FC cashed, paying +240
- Both teams to score: No, paying +210
Toronto FC's clean sheet settled both props in favor of the visitors.
Toronto FC vs. Red Bull New York odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Toronto FC +310, Draw +340, Red Bull New York -153, implying win probabilities of 23% for Toronto FC, 56% for Red Bull New York, and 21% for a draw after vig removal. The bookmaker's margin was 7.6%. Toronto FC's +310 price paid $310 on a $100 wager, rewarding the underdog upset.
Toronto FC and Red Bull New York betting trends: 2026 season
Toronto FC sits at 8–12–10 in 30 matches, with a 5–9–2 home record and a 3–3–8 away/neutral split. In 26 games with a recorded total, the club hit the over 15 times and the under 11 times. Their last five results: W, D, W, L, L.
Red Bull New York holds a 10–6–14 record through 30 games, evenly split at home (5–3–7) and away/neutral (5–3–7). Over/under data from 26 games shows 12 overs and 14 unders. Their recent form is L, L, W, L, W, with two straight losses.
What's next for Toronto FC and Red Bull New York?
Toronto FC travels to Columbus Crew on Saturday, October 24. Red Bull New York hosts Inter Miami CF the same day.