Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union draw 2-2: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · MLS · Charlotte FC 2, Philadelphia Union 2

Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union drew 2–2 on Saturday, October 17 at Subaru Park. The match exceeded the 3.5-goal total, finishing with four goals. AiQ went 1–1 on its graded picks: the moneyline on Philadelphia Union at -237 lost, but the over 3.5 won.

Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union final score and match recap

Philadelphia Union led 1–0 at halftime. Charlotte FC scored twice in the second half while Philadelphia Union added one more, finishing 2–2. Idan Toklomati contributed a goal and an assist for Charlotte FC; Rodolfo Aloko added the second. Milan Iloski and Bruno Damiani each scored for Philadelphia Union.

Did Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union go over or under the goals total?

The match went over 3.5, finishing with four goals. AiQ's over 3.5 pick at 58% confidence won.

How did AiQ's Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union predictions do?

AiQ finished 1–1 across graded picks.

The model correctly identified the high-scoring nature of the contest but missed the moneyline. The draw left the Union's odds unfulfilled despite AiQ favoring Philadelphia Union.

Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score

Charlotte FC vs. Philadelphia Union odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The three-way moneyline listed Charlotte FC +483, Draw +398, and Philadelphia Union -237. With vig removed, implied probabilities were 16% for Charlotte FC, 65% for Philadelphia Union, and 19% for a draw, yielding a 7.6% bookmaker margin. A $100 bet on the draw at +398 returned $398 profit.

AiQ's pre-game expected value for Philadelphia Union at -235 was −3.3%, a negative-EV price. The market implied 68% win probability for the Union; AiQ's calibrated estimate matched at 68%, but the price did not justify the pick.

Charlotte FC stands 13–8–9 through 30 matches, with an 8–4–3 home record and 5–4–6 away. In 26 games with a recorded total, they hit the over 16 times and the under 10 times. Their last five results: D, L, W, L, W.

Philadelphia Union is 13–7–10 in 30 matches, posting a 7–5–3 home record and 6–2–7 away. In 26 games with a recorded total, they produced 17 overs and 9 unders. Their recent form: D, W, W, W, W.

What's next for Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union?

Charlotte FC travels to Portland Timbers on Saturday, October 24. Philadelphia Union hosts New England Revolution the same day.