LAFC defeat Austin FC 3-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · Austin FC 1, LAFC 3
LAFC defeated Austin FC 3-1 on Wednesday, October 14 at BMO Stadium. The match went over 3.5 goals, finishing with four total goals—all scored in the second half. AiQ went 1-2 across graded picks.
Austin FC vs. LAFC final score and match recap
The first half ended scoreless. LAFC dominated the second half, scoring three goals while Austin FC added one. Denis Bouanga scored twice for LAFC. Son Heung-Min contributed one goal and two assists. Brandon Vázquez scored Austin FC's lone goal, with Myrto Uzuni providing the assist.
Did Austin FC vs. LAFC go over or under the goals total?
The match went over 3.5 by half a goal. AiQ had taken the under 3.5 at 58% confidence and lost.
How did AiQ's Austin FC vs. LAFC predictions do?
AiQ finished 1-2 across all graded picks.
- Moneyline: Picked Draw at +407 – loss, –$100 on a $100 stake.
- Total: Picked Under 3.5 – loss.
- Player props: Went 1-0, netting +$390 on a $100 bet.
Austin FC vs. LAFC player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 1-0, netting +$390.
- Brandon Vázquez (Austin FC) to score anytime at +390; he recorded one goal – win.
Austin FC vs. LAFC game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: LAFC cashed, paying -800.
- Both teams to score: Yes, paying -150.
Austin FC vs. LAFC odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline closed at Austin FC +625, Draw +407, LAFC -288, implying win probabilities of 13% for Austin FC, 18% for a draw, and 69% for LAFC after vigorish removal. The bookmaker margin sat at 7.7%. LAFC's -288 line paid $34.72 on a $100 wager. AiQ's pre-game moneyline expected value was –1.5% at +425 (best price at Fanatics), a negative-expected-value price despite the model favoring the draw. The market's implied 17% probability versus AiQ's calibrated 19% for a draw shows minimal disagreement.
Austin FC and LAFC betting trends: 2026 season
Austin FC sits at 7-10-12 (W-D-L) through 29 matches, with a 4-6-4 home record and 3-4-8 away. In 26 matches with a recorded closing total, they have hit the over 14 times and the under 12 times. Their last five results read L, L, D, D, W, and they are on a two-match losing streak.
LAFC holds a 12-9-9 record in 30 matches, boasting a 9-3-3 home ledger and 3-6-6 away. Of 27 matches with a closing total, they have gone over 12 and under 15. Their recent five results are W, D, L, D, L.
What's next for Austin FC and LAFC?
Austin FC travels to Sporting Kansas City on Saturday, October 24. LAFC hosts LA Galaxy on Sunday, October 25.