Houston Dynamo FC and San Diego FC draw 3-3: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · Houston Dynamo FC 3, San Diego FC 3
Houston Dynamo FC and San Diego FC drew 3-3 on Wednesday, October 14 at Snapdragon Stadium. The match went over 2.5 goals, finishing with six total goals. AiQ's over pick at 58% confidence won; its moneyline selection on San Diego FC at +102 lost.
Houston Dynamo FC vs. San Diego FC final score and match recap
Guilherme Augusto scored twice and added an assist for Houston Dynamo FC, while Mateusz Bogusz contributed a goal. San Diego FC scored two goals in the first half and one in the second half to force a 3-3 draw, with Cédric Bakambu and Anders Dreyer each scoring.
Did Houston Dynamo FC vs. San Diego FC go over or under the goals total?
The match produced six goals, clearing the 2.5 total by 3.5. AiQ's over pick won.
How did AiQ's Houston Dynamo FC vs. San Diego FC predictions do?
AiQ finished 1-1 across graded picks:
- Moneyline: San Diego FC +102 – LOSS (−$100 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Over 2.5 – WIN
The model correctly identified the high-scoring trajectory but missed on the moneyline, as the draw left the favored side unprofitable.
Houston Dynamo FC vs. San Diego FC game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet
- Both teams to score: Yes, paid −185.
- Draw no bet: The match ended in a draw, so stakes were refunded.
Houston Dynamo FC vs. San Diego FC odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Houston Dynamo FC +235, Draw +258, and San Diego FC +102. After vig removal, implied probabilities were 28% for Houston, 46% for San Diego, and 26% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.3%. A $100 bet on the draw would have returned +$258 profit.
AiQ's moneyline expected value was −0.0% at +110, the best price available at Fanatics. This was a negative-expected-value price; AiQ liked the side but not the price.
Houston Dynamo FC and San Diego FC betting trends: 2026 season
Houston Dynamo FC sits at 13-7-9 through 29 matches, with an 8-3-3 home record and 5-4-6 away/neutral split. In 26 games with a recorded closing total, they hit the over nine times and the under 17 times. They are on a 2-game draw streak.
San Diego FC is 8-9-12 in 29 matches, posting a 6-4-5 home record and 2-5-7 away/neutral record. Of 25 games with a recorded total, the over hit 14 times and the under 11 times.
What's next for Houston Dynamo FC and San Diego FC?
Houston Dynamo FC will host Minnesota United FC on Saturday, October 24. San Diego FC hosts Seattle Sounders FC the same day.