Philadelphia Union defeat Chicago Fire FC 3-1: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks

Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · Philadelphia Union 3, Chicago Fire FC 1

Philadelphia Union won 3-1 at Chicago Fire FC on Wednesday, October 14 at Soldier Field. The match went over 3.5 goals, finishing with four. AiQ's moneyline pick on the Union at +145 and its over-3.5 selection both won.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC final score and match recap

Chicago Fire FC led 1-0 at halftime on Maren Haile-Selassie's goal, but Philadelphia Union dominated the second half. Bruno Damiani scored twice and added an assist to spark the comeback, while Milan Iloski added the third goal. The Union's second-half surge turned a halftime deficit into a comfortable 3-1 road victory.

Did Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC go over or under the goals total?

The match went over 3.5 by 0.5, finishing with four goals. The first half produced one goal; the second half delivered three. AiQ's over-3.5 pick at 58% confidence won.

How did AiQ's Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC predictions do?

AiQ finished 4-4 across every graded pick on this match.

• Moneyline: Philadelphia Union +145 — WIN
• Total goals: Over 3.5 — WIN
• Player props: 2-4 — LOSS

The model correctly identified the Union's victory and the high-scoring nature of the match but missed four of six player-prop selections.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC player prop results

AiQ's player-prop record was 2-4, resulting in a net loss of $89.44 on $100 per pick.

• Maren Haile-Selassie over 0.5 assists at +390; actual 0 — LOSS
• Maren Haile-Selassie over 2.5 shots at +140; actual 2 — LOSS
• Philip Zinckernagel over 2.5 shots at -130; actual 2 — LOSS
• Jack Elliott over 0.5 shots at -170; actual 0 — LOSS
• Maren Haile-Selassie to record a goal anytime at +255; actual 1 — WIN
• Maren Haile-Selassie over 0.5 shots on target at -180; actual 2 — WIN

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score

• Draw no bet: Philadelphia Union cashed at -110. The Union's second-half dominance erased the early deficit.
• Both teams to score: Yes at -255. Both sides found the net despite the Union's overall control.

Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire FC odds: sportsbook value and line movement

The three-way moneyline showed Philadelphia Union +145, Chicago Fire FC +148, and Draw +280. After removing the bookmaker's 7.5% margin, the market implied a 38% win probability for each club and a 24% chance of a draw. AiQ's internal estimate placed the Union's win probability at 39%, essentially matching the market. The best available price was +155 at BetRivers, which carried negative expected value; AiQ liked the Union but did not find the offered price value-positive.

Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire FC betting trends: 2026 season

Philadelphia Union sit at 13-6-10 through 29 matches, with a 7-4-3 home record and 6-2-7 away/neutral record. In 26 games with a recorded closing total, they saw 17 overs and 9 unders. The Union have won their last five matches and extended an eight-game winning streak.

Chicago Fire FC hold a 14-6-9 record in 29 games. They are strong at home (9-1-5) but more even on the road (5-5-4). In 25 games with a recorded total, they produced 13 overs and 12 unders. Their last five results are L-W-W-W-L.

What's next for Philadelphia Union and Chicago Fire FC?

Philadelphia Union will host New England Revolution on Saturday, October 24. Chicago Fire FC travel to Atlanta United FC on Saturday, October 24.

• More Chicago Fire FC recaps
• More Philadelphia Union recaps