FC Dallas defeat Seattle Sounders FC 1-0: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · Seattle Sounders FC 0, FC Dallas 1
FC Dallas defeated Seattle Sounders FC 1–0 on Wednesday, October 14 at Toyota Stadium. The match finished under the 3.5-goal total, with only one goal scored across both halves.
Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas final score and match recap
The first half ended scoreless, both teams defending effectively and creating few clear opportunities. Dallas broke through in the second half when Kaick scored, with Osaze Urhoghide providing the assist. Seattle could not equalize, and Dallas held the lead through the final whistle.
Did Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas go over or under the goals total?
The match finished with 1 goal, 2.5 goals under the 3.5 total. All scoring occurred in the second half, with Dallas accounting for the lone goal and Seattle remaining scoreless.
How did AiQ's Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas predictions do?
AiQ finished 0–6 across all graded picks on this match.
- Moneyline: Draw at +282 — LOSS (−$100 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Over 3.5 — LOSS
- Player props: Four picks — LOSS (−$400 on $100 per pick)
The model missed every market, favoring a draw on the moneyline and overestimating scoring output.
Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 0–4, netting a loss of $400.
- Cristian Roldan (Seattle Sounders FC) to record a goal scorer anytime at +800; actual: 0 — LOSS
- Paul Arriola (Seattle Sounders FC) over 0.5 assists at +320; actual: 0 — LOSS
- Osaze Urhoghide (FC Dallas) to record a goal scorer anytime at +1400; actual: 0 — LOSS
- Paul Arriola (Seattle Sounders FC) to record a goal scorer anytime at +425; actual: 0 — LOSS
Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas game prop results: both teams to score and draw no bet
- Both teams to score: No (paid +165) — the match remained 0–0 until Dallas scored in the second half.
- Draw no bet: FC Dallas cashed (paid −210).
Seattle Sounders FC vs. FC Dallas odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Seattle Sounders FC +235, Draw +282, and FC Dallas −106. After vig removal, implied probabilities were 28% for Seattle, 48% for Dallas, and 24% for a draw, with a bookmaker margin of 7.5%. FC Dallas, the favorite at −106, won and returned $94.34 on a $100 wager. AiQ's moneyline pick was Draw at +282, with expected value calculated at +0.3% using the best available price of +300 at Fanatics. The market's implied 24% chance for a draw aligned closely with AiQ's calibrated 25% estimate.
Seattle Sounders FC and FC Dallas betting trends: 2026 season
Seattle Sounders FC sit at 11–8–10 through 29 matches, with a home record of 7–3–4 and an away/neutral record of 4–5–6. In 24 matches with a recorded closing total, they hit the under 15 times and the over 9 times. Their last five results are L, W, W, W, W.
FC Dallas are 14–8–7 in 29 contests, posting a home record of 7–5–2 and an away/neutral record of 7–3–5. Of 26 matches with a recorded closing total, they went over 16 and under 10. Their recent five results read W, L, W, D, W.
What's next for Seattle Sounders FC and FC Dallas?
Seattle Sounders FC travel to San Diego FC on Saturday, October 24. FC Dallas will host the San Jose Earthquakes the same day.