Nashville SC defeat Sporting Kansas City 4-0: Match Recap, Betting Results & AiQ Picks
Wed, Oct 14, 2026 · MLS · Sporting Kansas City 0, Nashville SC 4
Nashville SC routed Sporting Kansas City 4-0 on Wednesday, October 14 at GEODIS Park. The result covered AiQ's moneyline pick on Nashville SC at -650 and the match went over the 3.5 total.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Nashville SC final score and match recap
Nashville SC scored three goals in the first half and added a fourth in the second to shut out Sporting Kansas City entirely. Andy Nájar and Hany Mukhtar each contributed a goal and an assist in the dominant performance. Sporting Kansas City never threatened the scoreboard.
Did Sporting Kansas City vs. Nashville SC go over or under the goals total?
The match finished with four goals, clearing the 3.5 total by 0.5. Three came in the first half, one in the second. AiQ's over pick at 3.5 with 56% confidence won.
How did AiQ's Sporting Kansas City vs. Nashville SC predictions do?
AiQ finished 3-4 across every graded pick on this match.
- Moneyline: Nashville SC at -650 — WIN (+$15.38 on a $100 bet)
- Total: Over 3.5 — WIN
- Player props: 1-4 — LOSS (-$320 on $100 per pick)
The model correctly identified the winner and the high-scoring nature of the match, but missed four of five player-prop selections.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Nashville SC player prop results
AiQ's player-prop record was 1-4, leaving a net loss of $320.
- Wyatt Meyer (Sporting Kansas City) to score anytime at +3000; actual 0 — LOSS
- Calvin Harris (Sporting Kansas City) to score anytime at +460; actual 0 — LOSS
- Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC) to score anytime at -125; actual 1 — WIN
- Jacob Bartlett (Sporting Kansas City) to score anytime at +1450; actual 0 — LOSS
- Taylor Calheira (Sporting Kansas City) over 0.5 assists at +700; actual 0 — LOSS
Only Mukhtar's prop hit. Nashville's scoring came from sources AiQ did not target.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Nashville SC game prop results: draw no bet and both teams to score
- Draw no bet: Nashville SC cashed, as the home team won outright.
- Both teams to score: No (paid -110), reflecting Sporting Kansas City's shutout.
Sporting Kansas City vs. Nashville SC odds: sportsbook value and line movement
The three-way moneyline was Sporting Kansas City +1133, Draw +683, and Nashville SC -650. Removing vigorish left implied probabilities of 8% for Sporting Kansas City, 81% for Nashville SC, and 12% for a draw, with a 7.5% bookmaker margin. A $100 wager on Nashville SC at -650 returned $15.38 profit.
AiQ's internal valuation placed Nashville SC at -560, translating to -1.6% expected value. The model liked the side but found the market price unattractive. The market's implied 85% win probability (vig removed) was close to AiQ's calibrated 84% estimate, showing alignment despite the negative expected value.
Sporting Kansas City and Nashville SC betting trends: 2026 season
Sporting Kansas City sits at 6-4-19 through 29 games, with a 3-4-7 home record and a 3-0-12 away/neutral split. Their over/under record in 25 games with a recorded total is 13 overs and 12 unders. The last five results read loss, draw, loss, win, loss.
Nashville SC boasts a 20-6-3 ledger in 29 matches, dominating at home 14-1-0 and holding a 6-5-3 away/neutral record. Their over/under in 26 games shows 15 overs and 11 unders. The club extended a four-game winning streak with this result.
What's next for Sporting Kansas City and Nashville SC?
Sporting Kansas City will host Austin FC on Saturday, October 24. Nashville SC travels to CF Montréal on the same day.